Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40994206›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2025

Trilateration of blast wave arrival time: an inverse method for determining explosive yield and position.

Jay Karlsen, Dain G Farrimond, Tommy J Lodge, Samuel E Rigby, Andrew Tyas, Sam D Clarke, Timothy R Brewer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Trilateration of blast wave arrival time: an inverse method for determining explosive yield and position.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jay KarlsenSchool of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0009-0004-1194-8873
Dain G FarrimondSchool of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9440-4369
Tommy J LodgeSchool of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6906-0218
Samuel E RigbySchool of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6844-3797
Andrew TyasSchool of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6078-5215
Sam D ClarkeSchool of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0305-0903
Timothy R BrewerSynthetik Applied Technologies LLC, Austin, TX, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3123-4825

Funding

Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This paper details the development of a rapid inverse approach to determine the yield and location of an explosion through trilateration of empirical laws for blast wave arrival time. A rigorous sensitivity analysis of measurement uncertainty is first performed. From this, a probabilistic framework is proposed that utilizes Monte Carlo sampling of datasets to mitigate the effects of the variability and uncertainties typically present in blast events. Subsequently, the trilateration method is successfully applied to two existing datasets. Analysing well-controlled small-scale laboratory experiments, charge mass is predicted within 6.3% of the true yield, and position within 3.65 charge radii of the true centre. Social media footage of the 2020 Beirut explosion is then used to assess performance against data collected under in-field conditions. The predicted yield of 0.52 kt

Indexed as

arrival timeBeirutblastexplosioninverse methodMonte Carlo

Identifiers

PMID40994206
PMCPMC12461223

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.