Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40992786›Full record

ArticleRMD open2025

Longitudinal association of early axial spondyloarthritis status at the time of diagnosis with disease activity over time: 10-year results from the GESPIC cohort.

David Kiefer, Imke Redeker, Murat Torgutalp, Valeria Rios Rodriguez, Judith Rademacher, Fabian Proft, Mikhail Protopopov, Hildrun Haibel, Joachim Sieper, Martin Rudwaleit and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in RMD open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

David KieferRuhr-Universität Bochum, Bochum, Germany davidkiefer@gmx.de.ORCID 0000-0003-1602-7649
Imke RedekerRuhr-Universität Bochum, Bochum, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-3377-2683
Murat TorgutalpDepartment of Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology (including Nutrition Medicine), Charite - Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4600-9484
Valeria Rios RodriguezDepartment of Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology (including Nutrition Medicine), Charite - Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5612-043X
Judith RademacherDepartment of Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology (including Nutrition Medicine), Charite - Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7442-2570
Fabian ProftDepartment of Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology (including Nutrition Medicine), Charite - Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4306-033X
Mikhail ProtopopovDepartment of Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology (including Nutrition Medicine), Charite - Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4840-5069
Hildrun HaibelDepartment of Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology (including Nutrition Medicine), Charite - Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Joachim SieperDepartment of Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology (including Nutrition Medicine), Charite - Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0285-9890
Martin RudwaleitDept. of Medicine and Rheumatology, Bielefeld University, Medical School and University Medical Center OWL Klinikum Bielefeld Rosenhöhe, Bielefeld, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5445-548X
Xenofon BaraliakosRuhr-Universität Bochum, Bochum, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9475-9362
Denis PoddubnyyDepartment of Gastroenterology, Infectiology and Rheumatology (including Nutrition Medicine), Charite - Universitatsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveRecently, the definition for 'early axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA)' was developed by the Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society (ASAS), including ≤2 years of axial symptoms as a key element. The aim of this study was to analyse the longitudinal association of early axSpA with achieving low disease activity or inactive disease.

methodsUsing 10-year longitudinal data from the German Spondyloarthritis Inception Cohort (GESPIC), a generalised estimating equations model was fitted to estimate the effect of early axSpA on disease activity, as measured by the Axial Spondyloarthritis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS). The model adjusted for confounders identified through a directed acyclic graph and accounted for repeated measurements within patients. Additional analyses were conducted, including stratification by radiographic status (non-radiographic-nr or radiographic-r).

resultsOf 525 patients (277 nr-axSpA, 248 r-axSpA) included in GESPIC, 161 (30%) fulfilled the ASAS early axSpA consensus definition (115 nr-axSpA and 46 r-axSpA) at baseline. Over the 10-year follow-up period, patients with early axSpA consistently achieved ASDAS states of inactive disease or low disease activity at a higher rate than those with non-early axSpA, rising from 41% versus 30% at baseline to 57% versus 44% at year 10. The total effect of early axSpA on ASDAS was -0.42 (95% CI: -0.57 to -0.26). Stratification by r-axSpA/nr-axSpA showed a total effect of -0.50 (95% CI: -0.81 to -0.19) for r-axSpA and -0.28 (95% CI: -0.46 to -0.10) for nr-axSpA.

conclusionFulfilment of the ASAS early axSpA definition at inclusion was associated with lower disease activity over 10 years.

Indexed as

Axial SpondyloarthritisSpondylarthritisAdultDisease ProgressionFemaleGermanyHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedSeverity of Illness IndexAnkylosingAxial SpondyloarthritisDisease ActivityHealth CareOutcome AssessmentSpondylitis

Identifiers

PMID40992786
PMCPMC12458802

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.