Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40989044›Full record

ArticleClinical neuropsychiatry2025

Jumping to Conclusions and Facial Emotion Recognition in First-Episode Psychosis: Longitudinal Insights from the Gap Follow-Up Study.

Giada Tripoli, Victoria Rodriguez, Uzma Zahid, Giulia Trotta, Andrea Quattrone, Yifei Lang, Luis Alameda, Edoardo Spinazzola, Simona Stilo, Laura Ferraro and 11 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical neuropsychiatry, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Giada TripoliDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Victoria RodriguezDepartment of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Uzma ZahidDepartment of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Giulia TrottaSocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Andrea QuattroneICBAS - School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, University of Porto, Portugal.
Yifei LangDepartment of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Luis AlamedaDepartment of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Edoardo SpinazzolaDepartment of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Simona StiloDepartment of Mental Health and Addictions, ASP Catanzaro, Catanzaro, Italy.
Laura FerraroDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Crocettarachele SartorioDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Fabio SeminerioDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Giuseppe ManiaciDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Daniele La BarberaDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Craig MorganHealth Service and Population Research, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology, and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Pak C ShamUniversity of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.
Robin M MurrayDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Graham K MurrayDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Marta Di FortiSocial, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Diego QuattroneDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
Caterina La CasciaDepartment of Biomedicine, Neuroscience and Advanced Diagnostics (BiND), Psychiatry Section, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Psychotic disorders are heterogeneous in their clinical presentation and outcome. While early research focused on poor prognoses in schizophrenia, recent longitudinal studies tracking first-episode psychosis (FEP) have identified more favourable outcome trajectories. This study investigates the stability and predictive value of metacognitive and social cognitive impairments-Jumping to Conclusions (JTC) bias and Facial Emotion Recognition (FER) deficits-as intermediate phenotypes of psychosis over a 5-year follow-up period. Method: A total of 134 FEP patients and 105 population-based controls from the GAP and EU-GEI follow-up study in London were reassessed after an average of 4.8 years. JTC was measured using the 60:40 Beads task, while FER was assessed through the Degraded Facial Affect Recognition (DFAR) task. Clinical, functional, and social outcomes-including hospital admissions, symptom severity, and employment status-were evaluated. Mixed models and regression modeling examined the stability of these cognitive traits and their association with long-term outcomes. Results: JTC and FER impairments remain stable over time, supporting their classification as intermediate phenotypes. However, neither JTC nor FER was associated with clinical outcomes (hospitalization rates, symptom severity) or social functioning (employment, independent living, relationships). A weak correlation was found between global FER impairment and negative symptoms at follow-up, but no associations emerged with real-world functional measures. Additionally, while patients demonstrated greater impairments than controls, the differences were more quantitative than qualitative, aligning with the psychosis continuum hypothesis. Conclusions: These findings demonstrate that JTC and FER are stable in people with psychosis and controls. Therefore, they may serve as important treatment targets for early intervention in psychosis. Future research should integrate the potential role of environmental factors as well as genetic influence to deepen our understanding of cognitive impairments in psychotic disorders.

Indexed as

facial emotion recognitionfirst epiosde psychosisjumping to conclusionsoutcome

Identifiers

PMID40989044
PMCPMC12453034

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-SA
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.