Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40988922›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2025

Real-World Effectiveness of Nirmatrelvir-Ritonavir Against Severe Outcomes of COVID-19 in Taiwan: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study.

Raymond N Kuo, Wanchi Chen, Wen-Yi Shau, Shan-Chwen Chang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Raymond N KuoInstitute of Health Policy and Management, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei City, Taiwan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4980-853X
Wanchi ChenInstitute of Health Policy and Management, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei City, Taiwan.
Wen-Yi ShauGraduate Institute of Clinical Medicine, College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei City, Taiwan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3977-1729
Shan-Chwen ChangDepartment of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei City, Taiwan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6505-4139

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Real-world data evaluating the effectiveness of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir across diverse age groups and vaccination statuses remain limited, particularly in East Asian populations. This study evaluates its effectiveness in reducing severe COVID-19 outcomes using a large, comprehensive nationwide healthcare database and to provide new evidence. Method: This retrospective observational cohort study involved outpatient COVID-19 patients diagnosed between 1 January 2022, and 1 December 2022, within Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients who received nirmatrelvir-ritonavir were compared with untreated patients. Primary outcomes include COVID-19-related hospitalization, ICU admission, invasive ventilatory support, death, and the composite outcome of hospital admission or death. Results: A total of 2 300 131 nonhospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 between 1 January 2022 and 1 December 2022, including 530 807 patients treated with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and 1 769 324 untreated patients. Treatment with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was associated with a significantly lower risk of COVID-19-related hospitalization (hazard ratio 0.32 [95% CI .31-.34]), ICU admission (0.41 [.38-.45]), invasive ventilatory support (0.38 [.33-.43]), death (0.42 [.40-.45]), and the composite outcome of hospital admission or death (0.34 [.33-.35]). Effectiveness was consistent across subgroups stratified by age and vaccination status, with the greatest benefit observed in unvaccinated individuals and those aged ≥65 years with additional risk factors. Conclusions: In a large, nationally representative cohort, outpatient use of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir was associated with a significantly lower risk of severe COVID-19-related outcomes, regardless of age or vaccination status. These findings reinforce the clinical value of early antiviral treatment, particularly in aging and unvaccinated populations.

Indexed as

COVID-19effectivenessnirmatrelvir–ritonavirsevere outcomesTaiwan

Identifiers

PMID40988922
PMCPMC12451265

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.