Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40987868›Full record

ArticleNature methods2025

Common to rare transfer learning (CORAL) enables inference and prediction for a quarter million rare Malagasy arthropods.

Otso Ovaskainen, Steven Winter, Gleb Tikhonov, Nerea Abrego, Sten Anslan, Jeremy R deWaard, Stephanie L deWaard, Brian L Fisher, Brendan Furneaux, Bess Hardwick and 11 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature methods, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Otso Ovaskainen *Department of Biological and Environmental Science, University of Jyväskylä, Jyväskylä, Finland. otso.t.ovaskainen@jyu.fi.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9750-4421
Steven Winter *Department of Statistical Science, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Gleb TikhonovOrganismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3040-0307
Nerea AbregoDepartment of Biological and Environmental Science, University of Jyväskylä, Jyväskylä, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6347-6127
Sten AnslanDepartment of Biological and Environmental Science, University of Jyväskylä, Jyväskylä, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2299-454X
Jeremy R deWaardCentre for Biodiversity Genomics, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
Stephanie L deWaardCentre for Biodiversity Genomics, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
Brian L FisherEntomology, California Academy of Sciences, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4653-3270
Brendan FurneauxDepartment of Biological and Environmental Science, University of Jyväskylä, Jyväskylä, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3522-7363
Bess HardwickOrganismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5195-6115
Deirdre KerdraonDepartment of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Uppsala, Sweden.
Mikko PentinsaariCanadian National Collection of Insects, Arachnids and Nematodes, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7241-3873
Dimby RaharinjanaharyMadagascar Biodiversity Center, Parc Botanique et Zoologique de Tsimbazaza, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Eric Tsiriniaina RajoelisonMadagascar Biodiversity Center, Parc Botanique et Zoologique de Tsimbazaza, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Sujeevan RatnasinghamCentre for Biodiversity Genomics, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
Panu SomervuoOrganismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3121-4047
Jayme E SonesCentre for Biodiversity Genomics, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
Evgeny V ZakharovCentre for Biodiversity Genomics, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
Paul D N HebertCentre for Biodiversity Genomics, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
Tomas RoslinOrganismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2957-4791
David DunsonDepartment of Statistical Science, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.

Funding

Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia) 345110EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council) 856506EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 101059492
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

DNA-based biodiversity surveys result in massive-scale data, including up to millions of species-of which, most are rare. Making the most of such data for inference and prediction requires modeling approaches that can relate species occurrences to environmental and spatial predictors, while incorporating information about their taxonomic or phylogenetic placement. Even if the scalability of joint species distribution models to large communities has greatly advanced, incorporating hundreds of thousands of species has not been feasible to date, leading to compromised analyses. Here we present a 'common to rare transfer learning' (CORAL) approach, based on borrowing information from the common species to enable statistically and computationally efficient modeling of both common and rare species. We illustrate that CORAL leads to much improved prediction and inference in the context of DNA metabarcoding data from Madagascar, comprising 255,188 arthropod species detected in 2,874 samples.

Indexed as

ArthropodsBiodiversityDNA Barcoding, TaxonomicAnimalsMachine LearningMadagascarPhylogeny

Identifiers

PMID40987868
PMCPMC12510871

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.