Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40987329›Full record

SynthesisProceedings. Biological sciences2025

Co-circulating pathogens of humans: a systematic review of mechanistic transmission models.

Kelsey E Shaw, Jennifer K Peterson, Neda Jalali, Saikanth Ratnavale, Manar Alkuzweny, Carly Barbera, Alan Costello, Liam Emerick, Guido Espana, Alex Meyer and 6 more

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Kelsey E ShawDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1297-8367
Jennifer K PetersonDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Neda JalaliDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Saikanth RatnavaleDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1954-4721
Manar AlkuzwenyDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Carly BarberaDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Alan CostelloDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Liam EmerickDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Guido EspanaDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Alex MeyerDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Stacy MowryDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Marya PoterekDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Carol de Souza MoreiraDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Eric Lease MorganDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9952-7800
Sean MooreDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Alex PerkinsDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7518-4014

Funding

Model-based inference and forecasting of co-circulating pathogen dynamicsR35GM143029 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF NOTRE DAME · PI PERKINS, ALEX · 2021 to 2025
$2.0M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35GM143029
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Historically, most mathematical models of infectious disease dynamics have focused on a single pathogen, despite the ubiquity of co-circulating pathogens in the real world. We conducted a systematic review of 326 published papers that included a mechanistic, population-level model of co-circulating human pathogens. We identified the types of pathogens represented in this literature, techniques used and motivations for conducting these studies. We also created an interaction index to quantify the degree to which co-circulating pathogen models include across scale and/or pathogen-pathogen interactions. We found that the emergence of new pathogens, such as HIV and SARS-CoV-2, precipitated modelling activity of the emerging pathogen with established pathogens. Pathogen characteristics also tended to drive modelling activity; for example, HIV suppresses the immune response, eliciting interesting dynamics when it is modelled with other pathogens. The motivations driving these studies were varied but could be divided into two major categories: exploration of dynamics and evaluation of interventions. Future potential avenues of research we identified include investigating the effects of misdiagnosis of clinically similar co-circulating pathogens and characterizing the impacts of one pathogen on public health resources available to curtail the spread of other pathogens.

Indexed as

CoinfectionCommunicable DiseasesCOVID-19Models, BiologicalHIV InfectionsHumansModels, TheoreticalSARS-CoV-2co-circulating pathogensdisease transmissionmechanistic modelling

Identifiers

PMID40987329
PMCPMC12457019

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.