Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40984984›Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal. Digital health2025

Cost-effectiveness of a clinical decision support system for atrial fibrillation: an RCT-based modelling study.

Olof Persson Lindell, Martin Henriksson, Lars O Karlsson, Staffan Nilsson, Emmanouil Charitakis, Magnus Janzon

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal. Digital health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02635685 (Clinical Decision Support for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation - a Cluster Randomized Trial in the Primary Care Setting), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02635685 naunknown statusnot on this map

Clinical Decision Support for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation - a Cluster Randomized Trial in the Primary Care Setting

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity Hospital, LinkoepingRan2016 to 2025Enrolled442,105ConditionsCardiovascular Disease, Atrial Fibrillation, StrokeArmsClinical Decision Support tool
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Olof Persson LindellDepartment of Cardiology, Linköping University Hospital, Kardiologiska Kliniken, Universitetssjukhuset, Linköping 581 85, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3705-1587
Martin HenrikssonDepartment of Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences, Center for Medical Technology Assessment, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1699-3185
Lars O KarlssonDepartment of Cardiology, Linköping University Hospital, Kardiologiska Kliniken, Universitetssjukhuset, Linköping 581 85, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4852-3065
Staffan NilssonDepartment of Health, Medicine and Caring Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Emmanouil CharitakisDepartment of Cardiology, Linköping University Hospital, Kardiologiska Kliniken, Universitetssjukhuset, Linköping 581 85, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2514-5324
Magnus JanzonDepartment of Cardiology, Linköping University Hospital, Kardiologiska Kliniken, Universitetssjukhuset, Linköping 581 85, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9375-5087

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aims: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrythmia that increases the risk of thromboembolism. Despite the effectiveness of anticoagulation in AF, underuse remains a substantial problem. Clinical decision support (CDS) systems may increase adherence to guideline recommended anticoagulation in AF. However, evidence regarding the cost-effectiveness of these interventions is lacking. The aim of this study was therefore to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a CDS for AF. Methods and results: We developed a disease progression model with a Markov structure and simulated a cohort of hypothetical individuals with AF through a standard of care and a CDS strategy. The adherence to anticoagulation in the model was based on the treatment effect reported in the CDS-AF trial, which evaluated the effect of a CDS in patients with AF in the primary care in Östergötland, Sweden. The cost-effectiveness of the CDS-AF intervention compared with standard of care was determined by estimating costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained over a lifetime time horizon and was reported as an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) assessed against a decision-threshold of €50 000. Uncertainty was evaluated using both one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA). The CDS-intervention resulted in fewer ischaemic strokes but more bleedings. The mean per patient gain in QALYs was 0.012 and the ICER was €963 per QALY gained. The result of the PSA indicated a high probability that the ICER was below €50 000. Conclusion: The CDS intervention used in the CDS-AF trial appears to yield health gains at a lower cost than typically considered cost-effective. Trial registration: NCT02635685.

Indexed as

Atrial fibrillationClinical decision supportCost-effectivenessElectronic health recordHealth care economics

Identifiers

PMID40984984
PMCPMC12450513

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.