Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40983697›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2025

Human activity augments lightning ignitions to reshape fire seasonality across all biomes on Earth.

Todd M Ellis, David M J S Bowman, Grant J Williamson

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Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Todd M EllisSchool of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Sandy Bay, Tasmania, Australia. toddellis.wa@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4410-8676
David M J S BowmanSchool of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Sandy Bay, Tasmania, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8075-124X
Grant J WilliamsonSchool of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Sandy Bay, Tasmania, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3469-7550

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The conjunction of lightning ignitions and dry vegetation has shaped fire regimes throughout geological time. These fire regimes have in turn influenced the traits of biotas globally. Anthropogenic ignitions, however, have radically transformed worldwide fire regimes by extending fire seasons to the limits bounded by periods of high fuel moisture while limiting the occurrence and extent of fire during periods of peak fire potential. Disaggregating contemporary human- and lightning-driven seasonal fire patterns can shed light on the magnitude of anthropogenic change to worldwide fire regimes. Here, using daily fuel moisture records and associated flammability thresholds, we identify and describe the global distribution of bioclimatic fire seasons as limited by the availability of fuels to burn. We then use a record of lightning strike density to disaggregate these bioclimatic fire seasons into ignition periods driven by anthropogenic or mixed (that is, lightning present) ignitions. Finally, we assess our ignition periods against a daily satellite burned area record and contextualize the timing of burning against vegetation productivity and the human dimension of fire. Collectively, we show that anthropogenic influences have shaped worldwide fire regimes by lengthening potential fire seasons, irrespective of local land use, fire suppression practices, lightning occurrence and biome type.

Indexed as

Anthropogenic EffectsEcosystemFiresHuman ActivitiesLightningEarth, PlanetHumansSeasons

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.