Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40978085›Full record

ArticlePNAS nexus2025

Bayesian estimation yields anti-Weber variability.

Arthur Prat-Carrabin, Samuel J Gershman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PNAS nexus, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Efficient numerosity estimation under limited time.PLoS computational biology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Arthur Prat-CarrabinDepartment of Psychology and Center for Brain Science, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6710-1488
Samuel J GershmanDepartment of Psychology and Center for Brain Science, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6546-3298

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A classic result of psychophysics is that human perceptual estimates are more variable for larger magnitudes. This "Weber behavior," however, has typically not been the focus of the prominent Bayesian paradigm. Here, we examine the variability of a Bayesian observer in comparison with human subjects. In two preregistered experiments, we manipulate the prior distribution and the reward function in a numerosity-estimation task. When large numerosities are more frequent or more rewarding, the Bayesian observer exhibits an "anti-Weber behavior," in which larger magnitudes yield less variable responses. Human subjects exhibit a similar pattern, thus breaking a long-standing result of psychophysics. Nevertheless, subjects' responses are best reproduced by a logarithmic encoding of magnitudes, a proposal of Fechner often regarded as accounting for Weber behavior. We thus obtain an anti-Weber behavior together with a Fechner encoding. Our results suggest that the increasing variability may be primarily due to the skewness of natural priors.

Identifiers

PMID40978085
PMCPMC12448889

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.