Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40977845›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of behavioral development2025

Predicting Juvenile Delinquency and Criminal Behavior in Adulthood Using Machine Learning.

Ulrich Schroeders, Antonia Mariss, Julia Sauter, Kristin Jankowsky

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of behavioral development, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ulrich SchroedersDepartment of Psychology, University of Kassel, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-5225-1122
Antonia MarissDepartment of Psychology, University of Kassel, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4991-6434
Julia SauterDepartment of Psychology, University of Kassel, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-8718-126X
Kristin JankowskyDepartment of Psychology, University of Kassel, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4847-0760

Funding

Wave IV Data CollectionP01HD031921 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI HARRIS, KATHLEEN MULLAN · 1994 to 2020
$86.1M
National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health): Wave VII Core ProjectU01AG071448 · NIA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT A HUMMER · 2021 to 2026
$40.2M
National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health): Wave VI Cognition and Early Risk Factors for Dementia ProjectU01AG071450 · NIA · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI AIELLO, ALLISON E, HUMMER, ROBERT A · 2021 to 2025
$16.2M
NIA NIH HHS U01 AG071448NIA NIH HHS U01 AG071450NICHD NIH HHS P01 HD031921
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

By violating social norms, deviant behavior is an important issue that affects society as a whole and has serious consequences for its individuals. Different scientific disciplines have proposed theories of deviant behavior that often fall short of predicting actual behavior. In this registered report, we used data from the longitudinal National Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health) to examine the predictability of juvenile delinquency (Wave I) and adult criminal behavior (Wave V), distinguishing between drug, property, and violent offenses. Comparing the predictive accuracy of traditional regression models with different machine learning algorithms (elastic net regression and gradient boosting machines), we found the elastic net regressions with item-level data performed best. The prediction of juvenile delinquency was relatively accurate for drug offenses (

Indexed as

criminal behaviorjuvenile delinquencymachine learningpredictionrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID40977845
PMCPMC12448129

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.