Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40968750›Full record

ArticleJournal of gynecologic oncology2026

Development and validation of a prediction model for lymph node metastasis based on molecular typing in clinically early-stage endometrial carcinoma.

Qiuyue Han, Quanhong Jiang, Jiaqi Xu, Yuan Zhang, Zhuang Li, Yong Zhao, Zhaoyang Zhang, Ziyuan Yang, Helgi B Schiöth, Yawen Zhang and 4 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of gynecologic oncology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Qiuyue Han *Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5419-3966
Quanhong Jiang *Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6261-0408
Jiaqi Xu *Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0009-0008-8532-7358
Yuan Zhang *Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0527-6017
Zhuang LiDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6855-2803
Yong ZhaoDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0003-4264-4149
Zhaoyang ZhangDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1280-0905
Ziyuan YangAdvanced Medical Research Institute, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0009-0009-2771-4226
Helgi B SchiöthDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Functional Pharmacology and Neuroscience, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-7112-0921
Yawen ZhangDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0009-0000-9328-0301
Lingliya TangDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1940-9546
Shuaixin WangDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0003-1781-3959
Beihua KongDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1627-1150
Ruifen DongDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China. ruifen.dong@sdu.edu.cn.ORCID 0009-0001-5829-8327

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop and externally validate a machine learning-based preoperative model integrating molecular typing and clinical features to predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with early-stage endometrial carcinoma (EC).

methodsThis retrospective study included 465 patients with clinically early-stage EC treated at Qilu Hospital of Shandong University. Tumors were classified into molecular subtypes using The Cancer Genome Atlas-based methods. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator regression identified five preoperative predictors: molecular typing (CN-H vs. non-CN-H), histological subtype, depth of myometrial invasion, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and CA125 levels. Multiple machine learning algorithms were evaluated, and logistic regression (LR) was selected based on optimal discrimination and clinical applicability. Model performance was assessed using area under the curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). A web-based nomogram was developed for clinical use.

resultsThe LR model demonstrated excellent discrimination, with AUCs of 0.843 in the training cohort and 0.809 in the testing cohort. The CN-H subtype was significantly associated with increased LNM risk. The model enabled effective risk stratification and calibration curves and DCA confirmed the model's accuracy and clinical utility.

conclusionBy integrating molecular and preoperative clinical features, this model offers accurate LNM risk stratification for early-stage EC. It supports clinical decision-making and has been implemented as a user-friendly online tool. Further prospective multicenter validation is warranted.

Indexed as

Endometrial NeoplasmsAdultAgedCA-125 AntigenFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsLymphatic MetastasisLymph NodesMachine LearningMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingNomogramsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentCA-125 AntigenEndometrial CarcinomaLymph Node MetastasisMachine LearningMolecular TypingNomogramPreoperative Period

Identifiers

PMID40968750
PMCPMC13009691

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.