Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40968150›Full record

ArticleEye (London, England)2025

Keratoconus prevalence in astigmatic adolescents: findings from a nationwide screening setting.

Margarita Safir, Itay Nitzan, Yair Hanina, Dan Heller, Michael Mimouni, Nir Sorkin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Eye (London, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Margarita Safir *Department of Ophthalmology, Rabin Medical Center, Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. sapir.margarita@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1814-8316
Itay Nitzan *Department of Military Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6925-5157
Yair HaninaDepartment of Military Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Dan HellerDepartment of Military Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel.
Michael MimouniDepartment of Ophthalmology, Rambam Health Care Campus, Bruce and Ruth Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4661-0993
Nir SorkinDepartment of Ophthalmology, Tel Aviv Medical Center and Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1292-1475

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo assess the association between varying levels of astigmatism and the likelihood of keratoconus diagnosis in adolescents.

methodsThis cross-sectional study included 896,377 adolescents aged 16-20 years who underwent a standardised medical assessment between 2011 and 2022, including refraction and topography/tomography in cases where astigmatism above 2.00 dioptres (D) was observed. Astigmatism was categorised into five groups: None, 0.75- < 2.00 D, 2.00- < 3.00 D, 3.00- < 5.00 D, and ≥5.00 D. Logistic regression models were used to assess the association between astigmatism and keratoconus diagnosis. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the discriminatory ability of cylinder power in detecting keratoconus.

resultsOverall, 1886 adolescents (0.21%) were diagnosed with keratoconus. Increasing astigmatism levels were strongly associated with higher keratoconus prevalence, rising from 0.1% for 0.75- < 2.00 D to 17.4% for ≥5.00 D (p < 0.001). Each 1-diopter increase in cylinder power above 2.00 D was linked to a 1.76-fold increase in keratoconus odds (OR = 1.76, 95% CI: 1.70-1.82, p < 0.001). Astigmatism axis demonstrated limited discriminatory ability. ROC analysis showed moderate discriminatory power for cylinder power (AUC = 0.752), with a cut-off of 2.88 D yielding a sensitivity of 0.744 and a specificity of 0.644.

conclusionsIn this large cohort of adolescents, increasing astigmatism power was significantly associated with keratoconus diagnosis. These findings suggest that combining astigmatism thresholds with other clinical factors may enhance screening strategies, enabling timely intervention to prevent disease progression.

Indexed as

AstigmatismKeratoconusAdolescentCorneal TopographyCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMass ScreeningPrevalenceRefraction, OcularROC CurveVisual AcuityYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40968150
PMCPMC12583458

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