Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40966449›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2025

Trends in the incidence of cancers related to HIV-AIDS in Harare, Zimbabwe 1990-2019.

Eric Chokunonga, Rudo Makunike-Mutasa, Margaret Borok, Mike Z Chirenje, Ntokozo Ndlovu, Justice Mudavanhu, Apollo Tsitsi, Biying Liu, Donald Maxwell Parkin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Eric ChokunongaZimbabwe National Cancer Registry, Parirenyatwa Group of Hospitals, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Rudo Makunike-MutasaZimbabwe National Cancer Registry, Parirenyatwa Group of Hospitals, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Margaret BorokZimbabwe National Cancer Registry, Parirenyatwa Group of Hospitals, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID 0000-0002-1234-0913
Mike Z ChirenjeZimbabwe National Cancer Registry, Parirenyatwa Group of Hospitals, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID 0000-0003-3538-5150
Ntokozo NdlovuZimbabwe National Cancer Registry, Parirenyatwa Group of Hospitals, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID 0000-0002-8269-7571
Justice MudavanhuDepartment of NCDs, Ministry of Health and Child Care, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID 0009-0007-4176-2561
Apollo TsitsiMinistry of Health and Child Care, HIV Program, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID 0000-0001-9881-0914
Biying LiuAfrican Cancer Registry Network, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3438-683X
Donald Maxwell ParkinInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3229-1784

Funding

Bloomberg Data for Health InitiativeCancer Registration National Programme in ZimbabweMinistry Of Health of ZimbabweThe Zimbabwe National CancerVital StrategiesWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHIV prevalence in Harare reached a maximum of around 33% of adults in 1995, before falling to 12% in 2019. We examine trends in the incidence of Kaposi sarcoma (KS), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), Hodgkin lymphoma, and squamous cell conjunctival cancers (SCCCs) in the population of Harare in relation to changes in HIV prevalence, and the increasing availability and use of antiretroviral therapy (ART).

methodsData from the population-based cancer registry of Harare are used to calculate incidence rates for the Black (African) population for the years 1990-2019.

resultsIncidence of KS increased to a peak in the late 1990s, after which rates declined, especially at younger ages. Mean age at diagnosis increased by about 8 years in men and 6 years in women. SCCC shows a similar trend to that of KS, with a dramatic 10-fold increase in incidence, followed by an equivalent fall. Although Hodgkin lymphoma showed no change in incidence over the 30-year period, rates of NHL progressively increased. Incidence in younger adults (aged younger than 44) stabilized after about 2001 but continued to increase in older individuals.

conclusionsThe availability of high-quality cancer registry data over a long period has provided a unique opportunity to study the effects of the epidemic of HIV-AIDs and of ART availability on the risk of cancer in an African population. As HIV prevalence fell and ART coverage expanded, incidence of KS and SCCC declined, whereas for NHL the trends suggest that long-term infection with HIV may pose an increased risk, despite ART.

Indexed as

Acquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeCarcinoma, Squamous CellConjunctival NeoplasmsHIV InfectionsHodgkin DiseaseLymphoma, Non-HodgkinNeoplasmsSarcoma, KaposiAdolescentAdultAgedChildFemaleHumansIncidenceMale

Identifiers

PMID40966449
PMCPMC12505126

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.