Optimizing crop varietal mixtures for viral disease management: A case study on cassava virus epidemics.

Cassava viral diseases, including Cassava Mosaic Disease (CMD) and Cassava Brown Streak Disease (CBSD), pose significant threats to global food security, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. This study explores the potential of varietal mixtures as a sustainable disease management strategy by introducing CropMix, a novel web-based application. The application encodes a flexible insect-borne plant pathogen transmission model to predict and optimize yields under scenarios of varietal mixtures. For instance, we use the application to evaluate the ability of virus-resistant cassava varieties (which may have lower yields in the absence of disease) to protect more susceptible varieties against CMD and CBSD, and we also consider mixtures involving tolerant varieties and non-host crops. For CMD, the high transmission rates of cassava mosaic virus (genus Begomovirus) limits the efficacy of mixtures, with susceptible monocultures emerging as more productive than susceptible-resistant mixtures whatever the whitefly pressure. In contrast, for CBSD, varietal mixtures demonstrate substantial benefits, with resistant varieties shielding susceptible ones and mitigating severe yield losses under moderate or high insect pressure. Management strategies involving non-host crops and complementary control measures, such as roguing, can further enhance outcomes. The model's simplicity and adaptability make it suitable for tailoring recommendations to diverse insect-borne crop viral diseases and agroecological contexts. The study emphasizes the need for integrating real-world data and participatory frameworks to refine and implement disease management strategies. We discuss the critical balance between agronomic potential and farmer acceptability, underscoring the importance of collaborative efforts to ensure sustainable cassava production.