ArticleFrontiers in public health2025
Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on number of deaths in Ghana: an application of ARIMA with intervention analysis.
Article in Frontiers in public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Acute Respiratory Infections in Ghanaian Children: Epidemiology, Antimicrobial Resistance, and Prevention Strategies.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Confronting the known unknown: historical lessons and future strategies for Disease X.Frontiers in public health · 2026Review
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
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Abstract
Over the past three years, the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak has caused millions of unexpected deaths worldwide. Ghana, like many other countries, recorded numerous COVID-19 deaths. The number of deaths from the commencement of the crisis formed a time series. This study examines the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of deaths in Ghana using intervention analysis on time series data. Initially, we generated an ARIMA (3, 1, 0) model to examine monthly death data in Ghana from January 2018 to December 2022, identifying March 2020 as the critical intervention point. March 2020 marked the commencement of the COVID-19 pandemic in Ghana. Secondly, we employed the ARIMA model to predict the post-pandemic death trend, and ultimately, we found no substantial discrepancy between the estimated and observed death count. Consequently, the analysis concluded that, despite a surge in global deaths, the estimated model indicated that the pandemic's emergence did not result in a significant change in the number of deaths in Ghana beyond the anticipated figures based on pre-pandemic patterns.
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