Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40959618›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2025

Geotemporal disparities in hip fractures burden among individuals aged ≥55 years (1990-2021) with projections to 2050.

Yuan Gu, Yingqi Chen, Wenzhao Li, Ningning Cheng, Songyun Deng, Yuan Ma, Daorong Xu, Jikun Qian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Impact of modified ERAS protocol implementation on length of stay and complications in elderly hip fracture patients: a before-and-after study.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yuan Gu *Division of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Department of Orthopaedics, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Yingqi Chen *Division of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Department of Orthopaedics, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Wenzhao LiDepartment of Orthopedics, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.
Ningning ChengDepartment of Obstetrics, The First Affiliated Hospital, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
Songyun DengDepartment of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Yuan MaDivision of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Department of Orthopaedics, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Daorong XuDivision of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Department of Orthopaedics, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Jikun QianDivision of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Department of Orthopaedics, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Hip fractures (HFs) are common among older adults and represent a major cause of long-term functional impairment. The lack of up-to-date epidemiological data hinders the development of effective public health policies. This study investigates trends in HFs among individuals aged ≥55 years (HFs (≥55 years)), providing essential evidence to inform future prevention strategies. Methods: Using Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 data, we analyzed the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), prevalence rate (ASPR), and years lived with disability (YLDs) rate (ASYR), along with their trends, driving factors, age-sex-time patterns, health outcomes efficiency, and projections up to 2050. Results: In 2021, the global ASIR, ASPR, and ASYR of HFs (≥55 years) were 1,027.46 (95% UI: 719.73-1416.07), 2,037.39 (95% UI: 1,670.75-2475.71) per 100,000, and 185.49 (95% UI: 125.69-259.43) per 100,000 person-years, respectively. From 1990 to 2021, global ASIR and ASPR showed an overall upward trend, whereas ASYR declined (ASIR: AAPC = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.12-0.28; ASPR: AAPC = 0.31, 95% CI: 0.27-0.36; ASYR: AAPC = -0.43, 95% CI: -0.50 - -0.36). These trends are expected to persist by 2050, with ASIR reaching 1,102.66 (95% CI: 101.40-2,142.83), ASPR 2,052.14 (95% CI: 141.30-4,112.55) per 100,000, and ASYR declining to 174.43 (95% CI: 0-365.91) per 100,000 person-years. Significant disparities existed across 204 countries and territories. High SDI region bore a greater burden, though their growth rate had slowed, whereas Low SDI region showed a gradual increase from a lower baseline. Health inequalities were more pronounced in High SDI region, which also had the greatest potential for burden reduction. Population growth and aging were the primary drivers of these trends, with falls remaining the predominant cause. Notably, the burden increased more markedly among males. Conclusion: The global burden of HFs (≥55 years) is rising, underscoring the need to account for the complex distribution across populations and regions. Effective, targeted prevention and treatment strategies are essential to mitigating the disease burden and improving patient outcomes.

Indexed as

Hip FracturesAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceglobal burden of diseasehip fracturesincidenceprevalencetrend analysisyears lived with disability

Identifiers

PMID40959618
PMCPMC12433851

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.