Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40959190›Full record

ArticleHealth science reports2025

Analyzing the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Mortality Data Using Weekly Exceedance in Mortality Count and Weekly Change in Mortality Indicator: A Time Series Study.

Aditya Chakrabarty, Mohan D Pant

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health science reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Aditya ChakrabartyDepartment of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, & Environmental Health, Joint School of Public Health Old Dominion University Norfolk Virginia USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1476-113X
Mohan D PantDepartment of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, & Environmental Health, Joint School of Public Health Old Dominion University Norfolk Virginia USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background and Aims: Cause-specific mortality (CSM) count prediction plays a vital role in the context of public health policy. In this study, we introduce a new analytical approach, which is divided into three phases to answer specific questions regarding CSM due to 14 specific causes by computing different simple, compound, and conditional probabilities. Methods: A multivariate time series forecasting model was developed using the CDC weekly mortality count data. A binary data matrix was constructed for 14 causes of death (COD) as a function of weeks by combining the observed and forecasted mortalities. We introduced two new concepts: Weekly Exceedance in Mortality Count ( Results: The results of chi-square test of independence indicated that there was no statistically significant association between COD and Conclusion: Utilizing this analytical approach, researchers and policymakers can compute the probabilities of any number of desired events related to different COD which can be helpful for public health interventions, resource allocation, informed decision-making and risk assessment, by controlling the underlying attributes responsible for the probabilities to surge and plummet.

Indexed as

cause of death (COD) data matrixCDC provisional death countsmultivariate time‐series forecasting modelingweekly change in mortality indicator (WCMI)weekly exceedance in mortality count (WEMC)

Identifiers

PMID40959190
PMCPMC12434084

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.