Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40956602›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical Internet research2025

A Practical Guide to Using Futures Methods in Health Care: Approaches, Applications, and Case Studies.

Bertalan Mesko, Tamás Kristóf, Pranavsingh Dhunnoo, Nóra Árvai, Gellért Katonai

Abstract readEditorial
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical Internet research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Mental Health and Wellbeing of Rohingya Refugees: A Scoping Review.Journal of racial and ethnic health disparities · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Bertalan MeskoThe Medical Futurist Institute, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7005-7083
Tamás KristófInstitute of Entrepreneurship and Innovation, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2805-4900
Pranavsingh DhunnooThe Medical Futurist Institute, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6843-4874
Nóra ÁrvaiKálmán Laki Doctoral School of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-8292-4859
Gellért KatonaiKálmán Laki Doctoral School of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-5699-8199

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Researchers and health care institutions have increasingly applied structured futures methods-such as the futures wheel, scenario analysis, forecasting, and horizon scanning-to systematically explore, generate, and prepare for multiple possible futures. However, discussions around the future of medicine, specialties, or therapeutic areas have often relied on the subjective opinions or perspectives of key opinion leaders rather than on future strategies, policies, visions, and scenarios that are grounded in rigorous and established methods. This underscores the need for futures methods to be widely adopted and effectively incorporated into both medical practice and health care policymaking. Integrating structured foresight techniques into strategic planning enables clinicians and policymakers to transition from reactive decision-making to proactive, plausible approaches that shape a more resilient and adaptive health care system. Our goal with this paper is to provide a methodological guide that is supported by case studies, demonstrating how futures methods can be systematically applied in health care. By offering practical examples, we intend to empower medical professionals, health care leaders, researchers, patients, and policymakers with the tools to anticipate and navigate future challenges and opportunities more effectively.

Indexed as

Delivery of Health CareForecastingHumansforesightfuturefutures methodshealth caremedicine

Identifiers

PMID40956602
PMCPMC12485254

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.