Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40954558›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2025

Linking Individual Performance to Density-Dependent Population Dynamics to Understand Temperature-Mediated Genotype Coexistence.

Marjolein Bruijning, Luc De Meester, Marco D Visser, Erlend I F Fossen, Héléne Vanvelk, Joost A M Raeymaekers, Lynn Govaert, Kristien I Brans, Sigurd Einum, Eelke Jongejans

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Marjolein BruijningInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9408-2187
Luc De MeesterLeibniz Institüt für Gewasserökologie Und Binnenfischerei (IGB), Berlin, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5433-6843
Marco D VisserInstitute of Environmental Sciences, Leiden University, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1200-0852
Erlend I F FossenCICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5687-2743
Héléne VanvelkLaboratory of Aquatic Ecology, Evolution and Conservation, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7038-5239
Joost A M RaeymaekersFaculty of Biosciences and Aquaculture, Nord University, Bodø, Norway.
Lynn GovaertLeibniz Institüt für Gewasserökologie Und Binnenfischerei (IGB), Berlin, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8326-3591
Kristien I BransLaboratory of Aquatic Ecology, Evolution and Conservation, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
Sigurd EinumDepartment of Biology, Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics, NTNU, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3788-7800
Eelke JongejansRadboud Institute for Biological and Environmental Sciences, Radboud University, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1148-7419

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft 511084840FWO G0B9818FWO G0C3818KU Leuven (Onderzoeksraad, Bijzonder Onderzoeksfonds KU Leuven) C16/2017/002KU Leuven (Onderzoeksraad, Bijzonder Onderzoeksfonds KU Leuven) C16/2023/007Norges Forskningsråd 223257/F50Norges Forskningsråd 230482NWO VI.Veni.222.344
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The persistence of local populations exposed to climate change depends on their adaptive potential and on the ability of local individuals to compete with migrating conspecifics tracking environmental shifts. Modern coexistence theory (MCT) offers a framework for studying such competitive interactions among genotypes. However, MCT often focuses on emerging population-level outcomes, aggregating over the underlying individual-level interactions. We present a cross-scale application of MCT, combining it with an Integral Projection Model (IPM), explicitly connecting individual performance to population-level dynamics. We parameterise our model using experimental data on competing Daphnia genotypes from two latitudes. Consistent with observations, our model shows that higher temperatures increase the likelihood of competitive exclusion of Northern genotypes by Southern genotypes. Moreover, it reveals latitudinal variation in neonate sex ratios as a driver of temperature-dependent evolutionary shifts. By identifying vital rates underlying population-level competitive outcomes, our approach preserves the straightforward theoretical interpretability of MCT, while providing enhanced process-level resolution through IPMs.

Indexed as

DaphniaModels, BiologicalTemperatureAnimalsClimate ChangeFemaleGenotypeMalePopulation DensityPopulation DynamicsSex Ratiodensity‐dependenceintegral projection modellingintraspecific competitionmodern coexistence theoryvital rates

Identifiers

PMID40954558
PMCPMC12436995

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.