Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40954248›Full record

ArticleNature genetics2025

Accelerated Bayesian inference of population size history from recombining sequence data.

Jonathan Terhorst

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature genetics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Coalescence and translation: A language model for population genetics.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. A general framework for branch length estimation in Ancestral Recombination Graphs.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  7. A Pandemic-Scale Ancestral Recombination Graph for SARS-CoV-2.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Jonathan TerhorstDepartment of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. jonth@umich.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7765-2101

Funding

Large-scale phylodynamics under non-neutral and non-treelike models of evolutionR35GM151145 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jonathan G Terhorst · 2023 to 2026
$1.5M
National Science Foundation (NSF) DMS-2052653NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM151145U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute of General Medical Sciences (NIGMS) R35151145
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study introduces population history learning by averaging sampled histories (PHLASH), a new method for inferring population history from whole-genome sequence data. It works by drawing random, low-dimensional projections of the coalescent intensity function from the posterior distribution of a pairwise sequentially Markovian coalescent-like model and averaging them together to form an accurate and adaptive estimator. On simulated data, PHLASH tends to be faster and have lower error than several competing methods, including SMC++, MSMC2 and FITCOAL. Moreover, it provides automatic uncertainty quantification and leads to new Bayesian testing procedures for detecting population structure and ancient bottlenecks. The key technical advance is a new algorithm for computing the score function (gradient of the log likelihood) of a coalescent hidden Markov model, which has the same computational cost as evaluating the log likelihood. PHLASH has been released as an easy-to-use Python software package and leverages graphics processing unit acceleration when available.

Indexed as

Genetics, PopulationPopulation DensityAlgorithmsBayes TheoremComputer SimulationHumansMarkov ChainsModels, GeneticSoftwareWhole Genome Sequencing

Identifiers

PMID40954248
PMCPMC12513830

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.