Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40950722›Full record

ArticleMultiple sclerosis journal - experimental, translational and clinical

Analysis of an innovative fluid biomarker panel for early prediction of progression independent of relapse activity in multiple sclerosis.

Edoardo Dalmato Schilke, Maura Frigo, Maria Letizia Fusco, Adele Cappellani, Diletta Cereda, Chiara Paola Zoia, Guido Cavaletti

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Multiple sclerosis journal - experimental, translational and clinical. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Impact of age, BMI, and renal function adjustment on interpretation of serum NfL and GFAP in multiple sclerosis progression: a scoping review.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Edoardo Dalmato SchilkePhD program in Neuroscience, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Monza, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-6546-5745
Maura Frigo
Maria Letizia FuscoNeurology, IRCCS San Gerardo dei Tintori Foundation Hospital, Monza, Italy.
Adele CappellaniClinical Chemistry Laboratory, IRCCS San Gerardo dei Tintori Foundation Hospital, Monza, Italy.
Diletta CeredaNeurology, IRCCS San Gerardo dei Tintori Foundation Hospital, Monza, Italy.
Chiara Paola ZoiaLaboratory of Neurobiology, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milan-Bicocca, Monza, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1654-4996
Guido CavalettiNeurology, IRCCS San Gerardo dei Tintori Foundation Hospital, Monza, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4128-2406

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) may occur in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS) and is a major contributor to disability accumulation. Objectives: We evaluated whether a panel of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers (neurofilament light chain (NfL), glial fibrillary acid protein (GFAP), total-Tau (T-Tau), ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase 1 (UCHL-1), and the phospho-Tau (P-Tau)181/T-Tau ratio) at diagnosis could discriminate patients who will develop PIRA in early disease phases. Methods: CSF levels of NfL, GFAP, T-Tau, and UCHL-1 were measured with SIMOA, of P-Tau181, and the ratio P-Tau181/T-Tau with chemiluminescent immunoassay in 80 newly diagnosed MS patients who were followed up for three years with six-month Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) assessments and yearly MRI scans. Results: Nineteen participants developing PIRA exhibited elevated GFAP and UCHL-1 levels, and reduced P-Tau181/T-Tau ratio. These biomarkers remained significant predictors of the outcome after adjusting for confounders, particularly older age at onset and higher baseline EDSS. Additionally, we identified moderate positive correlations between NfL-GFAP, NfL-UCHL-1, and GFAP-UCHL-1 levels, and moderate negative correlations between P-Tau181/T-Tau ratio and NfL, GFAP, and UCHL-1 levels. Conclusions: The elevation of GFAP and UCHL-1 likely reflects the role of astrocytic activation, while the reduction of the P-Tau181/T-Tau ratio may indicate disrupted Tau metabolism in individuals at risk of PIRA. Our findings suggest that combining these innovative biomarkers with clinical risk factors could improve early prognostic accuracy.

Indexed as

fluid biomarkers/CSFglial fibrillary acid protein/GFAPMultiple sclerosis/MSneurofilament light chains/NfLphosphor-Tau181/P-Tau181progression independent of relapse activity/PIRAtotal-Tau/T-Tauubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase 1/UCHL-1

Identifiers

PMID40950722
PMCPMC12432306

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.