Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40950434›Full record

ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2025

Effectiveness of 2024-2025 COVID-19 Vaccination Against COVID-19 Hospitalization and Severe In-Hospital Outcomes - IVY Network, 26 Hospitals, September 1, 2024-April 30, 2025.

Kevin C Ma, Alexander Webber, Adam S Lauring, Emily Bendall, Leigh K Papalambros, Basmah Safdar, Adit A Ginde, Ithan D Peltan, Samuel M Brown, Manjusha Gaglani and 40 more

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

50 authors.

Kevin C MaCoronavirus and Other Respiratory Viruses Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0002-4326-2911
Alexander WebberCoronavirus and Other Respiratory Viruses Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, Georgia.
Adam S LauringDepartments of Internal Medicine and Microbiology and Immunology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Emily BendallDepartments of Internal Medicine and Microbiology and Immunology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Leigh K PapalambrosDepartments of Internal Medicine and Microbiology and Immunology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Basmah SafdarYale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
Adit A GindeDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, Colorado.
Ithan D PeltanDepartment of Pulmonary/Critical Care Medicine, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, Utah and University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah.
Samuel M BrownDepartment of Pulmonary/Critical Care Medicine, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, Utah and University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah.
Manjusha GaglaniBaylor Scott and White Health, Temple and Dallas, Texas, and Baylor College of Medicine, Temple, Texas.
Shekhar GhamandeBaylor Scott and White Health, Baylor College of Medicine, Temple, Texas.
Cristie ColumbusBaylor, Scott & White Health, Texas A&M University College of Medicine, Dallas, Texas.
Nicholas M MohrUniversity of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa.
Kevin W GibbsDepartment of Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina.
David N HagerDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland.
Matthew E PrekkerDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Hennepin County Medical Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Michelle N GongDepartment of Medicine, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York.
Amira MohamedDepartment of Medicine, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York.
Nicholas J JohnsonDepartment of Emergency Medicine and Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.
Akram KhanDepartment of Medicine, Oregon Health and Sciences University, Portland, Oregon.
Catherine L HoughDepartment of Medicine, Oregon Health and Sciences University, Portland, Oregon.
Abhijit DuggalDepartment of Medicine, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio.
Jennifer G WilsonDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California.
Nida QadirDepartment of Medicine, University of California-Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California.
Steven Y ChangDepartment of Medicine, University of California-Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California.
Christopher MallowDepartment of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, Florida.
Laurence W BusseDepartment of Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia.
Jennie H KwonDepartment of Medicine, Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri.
Matthew C ExlineDepartment of Medicine, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio.
Ivana A VaughnDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Henry Ford Health, Detroit, Michigan.
Mayur RameshDivision of Infectious Diseases, Henry Ford Health, Detroit, Michigan.
Jarrod M MosierDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona.
Aleda M LeisDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Estelle S HarrisDepartment of Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah.
Adrienne BaughmanDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Sydney A CornelisonDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Paul W BlairVanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Cassandra A JohnsonDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Nathaniel M LewisInfluenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, Georgia.
Sascha EllingtonInfluenza Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, Georgia.
Todd W RiceDepartment of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Carlos G GrijalvaDepartment of Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
H Keipp TalbotDepartment of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Jonathan D CaseyDepartment of Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Natasha HalasaDepartment of Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
James D ChappellDepartment of Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Yuwei ZhuDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Wesley H SelfVanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research, and Department of Emergency Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.
Fatimah S DawoodCoronavirus and Other Respiratory Viruses Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, Georgia.
Diya SurieCoronavirus and Other Respiratory Viruses Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, Georgia.

Funding

CTSA K12 Program at the University of MichiganK12TR004374 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI VICKI L ELLINGROD, Leah Elizabeth Robinson · 2023 to 2026
$6.5M
Measuring and Learning from Care Variation in SepsisR35GM151147 · NIGMS · IHC HEALTH SERVICES, INC. · PI Ithan Daniel Peltan · 2023 to 2026
$1.5M
NCATS NIH HHS K12 TR004374NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM151147
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: As SARS-CoV-2 JN.1 lineage descendants continue to evolve, evaluating COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against severe COVID-19 is necessary to inform vaccine composition updates. Objective: To estimate effectiveness of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalizations and severe in-hospital outcomes overall and by time since dose (7-89, 90-179, and ≥180 days), JN.1 descendant lineage (KP.3.1.1, XEC, LP.8.1), and spike mutations potentially associated with immune evasion. Design setting and participants: This test-negative, case-control analysis included adult patients hospitalized during September 1, 2024-April 30, 2025 at 26 hospitals in 20 U.S. states. Cases presented with COVID-19-like illness and a positive SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid or antigen test; controls had COVID-19-like illness but tested negative. Exposure: Receipt of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine ≥7 days before illness onset. Main Outcomes and Measures: Main outcomes were COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes (supplemental oxygen therapy, acute respiratory failure, intensive care unit admission, invasive mechanical ventilation [IMV] or death). Logistic regression was used to estimate the odds of vaccination in cases and controls adjusting for demographics, clinical characteristics, and enrollment region. VE was estimated as (1 - adjusted odds ratio) x 100%. Results: 1,888 COVID-19 cases (including 348 with KP.3.1.1, 218 with XEC, and 134 with LP.8.1 infections) and 6,605 controls were enrolled (median [IQR] age, 66 [54-76] years; 4,338 [51%] female). VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 40% (95% CI, 27%-51%) and protection was sustained through 90-179 days after vaccination. VE was higher against the most severe outcome of IMV or death at 79% (95% CI, 55%-92%). VE was 49% (95% CI, 25%-67%) against hospitalization with KP.3.1.1, 34% (95% CI, 4%-56%) against XEC, and 24% (95% CI, -19% to 53%) against LP.8.1, with increasing median time since dose receipt due to sequential circulation patterns (60, 89, and 141 days, respectively). VE was similar against lineages with spike protein S31 deletion (41% [95% CI, 22%-56%]) and T22N and F59S substitutions (37% [95% CI, 9%-57%]). Conclusion and Relevance: 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines provided additional protection against severe disease as multiple JN.1 descendant lineages circulated.

Identifiers

PMID40950434
PMCPMC12424867

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