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ArticleSpine deformity2026

Age and in-brace Cobb angle predict brace failure in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis.

Shinji Sasao, Hiroki Oba, Shota Ikegami, Masashi Uehara, Terue Hatakenaka, Daisuke Kurogochi, Takuma Fukuzawa, Keisuke Shigenobu, Fumiaki Makiyama, Michihiko Koseki and 1 more

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Article in Spine deformity, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Shinji SasaoDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.
Hiroki ObaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan. oba1@hotmail.co.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8064-6607
Shota IkegamiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.
Masashi UeharaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.
Terue HatakenakaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.
Daisuke KurogochiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.
Takuma FukuzawaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.
Keisuke ShigenobuDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.
Fumiaki MakiyamaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.
Michihiko KosekiFaculty of Textile Science and Technology, Shinshu University, 3-15-1 Tokida, Ueda, Nagano, 386-8567, Japan.
Jun TakahashiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Shinshu University School of Medicine, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano, 390-8621, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis study aimed to identify independent risk factors for brace treatment failure, examine the correlation between initial in-brace Cobb angle and curve progression, and assess the relationships among age, curve type, initial in-brace Cobb angle, and treatment success.

methodsEighty consecutive patients (76 girls and 4 boys; mean age: 12.0 ± 1.2 years) commenced treatment with an underarm brace and were followed for a minimum of 2 years after brace initiation. Brace treatment failure was defined as a final Cobb angle of ≥ 50°, surgery, or curve progression ≥ 6°. A spinal surgeon evaluated standing long-cassette antero-posterior radiographs the pre-treatment, initial in-brace, and final follow-up time points. Multivariate analysis was conducted to classify patients into the bracing success and failure groups. We employed receiving operator characteristic analysis to determine cut-off values based on age and initial in-brace Cobb angle.

resultsThe cohort of 80 patients were followed for a mean of 3.1 ± 1.2 years. Overall success rate was 62%, with 19 patients requiring surgery and 30 experiencing bracing failure. Bracing success cases exhibited significantly lower pre-treatment Cobb angle (29.1° vs. 31.7°; P = 0.038), lower initial in-brace Cobb angle (15.5° vs. 21.0°; P < 0.001), and higher in-brace correction rate (48.6% vs. 32.9%; P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified younger age (+ 1 year, odds ratio 0.44; P = 0.006) and higher initial in-brace Cobb angle (+ 10°, odds ratio 5.0; P = 0.009) as independent predictors of treatment failure, with cut-off values of 12 years and 16°, respectively.

conclusionFor patients aged ≥ 12 years, controlling Cobb angle to < 16° at the initial underarm brace fitting may prevent significant curve progression and reduce the likelihood of surgery.

Indexed as

BracesScoliosisAdolescentAge FactorsChildDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleRadiographyRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsTreatment FailureAdolescent idiopathic scoliosisAgedBraceIn-brace Cobb angleTreatment failure

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.