Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40932771›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Characterizing population-level changes in human behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.

Tamanna Urmi, Binod Pant, George Dewey, Alexi Quintana-Mathe, Iris Lang, James Druckman, Katherine Ognyanova, Matthew Baum, Roy Perlis, Christoph Riedl and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Partisan differences in health behaviors can impact respiratory disease dynamics.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Tamanna Urmi *Machine Intelligence Group, Betterment of Health and the Environment, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0000-0001-6897-2365
Binod Pant *Machine Intelligence Group, Betterment of Health and the Environment, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0000-0001-8619-1861
George DeweyMachine Intelligence Group, Betterment of Health and the Environment, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0000-0001-5661-6494
Alexi Quintana-MatheDepartment of Physics, Network Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0000-0002-7315-9480
Iris LangMachine Intelligence Group, Betterment of Health and the Environment, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0009-0008-8944-0526
James DruckmanDepartment of Political Science, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627.ORCID 0000-0002-1249-6790
Katherine OgnyanovaSchool of Communication and Information, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NY 08901.ORCID 0000-0003-3038-7077
Matthew BaumJohn F. Kennedy School of Government and Department of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.ORCID 0000-0001-9893-1492
Roy PerlisDepartment of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114.ORCID 0000-0002-5862-6757
Christoph RiedlDepartment of Physics, Network Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0000-0002-3807-6364
David LazerInstitute for Quantitative Social Science, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.ORCID 0000-0002-7991-9110
Mauricio SantillanaMachine Intelligence Group, Betterment of Health and the Environment, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.ORCID 0000-0002-4206-418X

Funding

NSF | National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship Program (GRFP) SES-2029292 SES-2029792 SES-2116465 SES-2116189 SES-2116458 SES-211663 SES-2241884 SES-224188
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The transmission of communicable diseases in human populations is known to be modulated by behavioral patterns. However, detailed characterizations of how population-level behaviors change over time during multiple disease outbreaks and spatial resolutions are still not widely available. We used data from 431,211 survey responses collected in the United States, between April 2020 and June 2022, to provide a description of how human behaviors fluctuated during the first 2 y of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our analysis suggests that at the national and state levels, people's adherence to recommendations to avoid contact with others (a preventive behavior) was highest early in the pandemic but gradually-and linearly-decreased over time. Importantly, during periods of intense COVID-19 mortality, adaption to preventive behaviors increased-despite the overall temporal decrease. These spatial-temporal characterizations help improve our understanding of the bidirectional feedback loop between outbreak severity and human behavior. Our findings should benefit both computational modeling teams developing methodologies to predict the dynamics of future epidemics and policymakers designing strategies to mitigate the effects of future disease outbreaks.

Indexed as

COVID-19Health BehaviorHumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2Surveys and QuestionnairesUnited Statesepidemiologyhuman behaviorinfectious diseasenonpharmaceutical interventionspandemic preparedness

Identifiers

PMID40932771
PMCPMC12452891

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.