Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40931747›Full record

ArticleF1000Research2025

Research on statistical measure under double carbon target - Self-moving regression model of grey prediction based on entropy weight method.

Sanglin Zhao, Hao Deng, Jackon Steve

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Article in F1000Research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Sanglin ZhaoSchool of Engineering Management, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, Hunan, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-4616-7129
Hao DengSchool of Engineering Management, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, Hunan, China.
Jackon SteveSchool of Management, University of Khartoum, Khartoum, Khartoum, Sudan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-0046-768X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: At the 2020 UN General Assembly, China pledged to peak carbon emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. However, the traditional social development model has led to increasing carbon emissions annually, highlighting the need to resolve the contradiction between development and carbon reduction. This study examines the relationship between carbon emissions, economy, population, and energy consumption in a specific region to support carbon peak and neutrality goals. Methods: A comprehensive indicator system was established, encompassing economic, population, energy consumption, and carbon emissions indicators. The study analyzed these factors during the 12th and 13th Five Year Plans, comparing total carbon emissions in 2010 and across the plans, and assessing trends. It also comprehensively analyzed the relationships and mutual influences among these factors. The study identified the main challenges in achieving carbon peak and neutrality. Using the Kaya model and various factor models, it calculated carbon peak times for three scenarios: baseline (2022), natural (2036), and ambitious (2021). These findings provide a basis for dual carbon path planning. Result: The research results indicate that carbon emissions are closely related to the economy, population, and energy consumption. The prediction shows that the future trend of carbon emissions is controllable. Suggestions for dual carbon path planning are proposed to provide empirical basis for policy formulation. Under the baseline scenario, the peak carbon emissions are expected to occur around 2022; Under natural circumstances, the peak carbon emissions will be postponed to 2036; In the ambitious scenario, the carbon peak time can be advanced to 2021. Conclusion: The research results are crucial for achieving carbon reduction targets and sustainable development and can be used to formulate targeted policies to promote regional development and support China's carbon neutrality commitments.

Indexed as

CarbonModels, StatisticalChinaEntropyHumansRegression AnalysisCarbonGrey Prediction; Ridge Regression; Entropy Weight Method; ARIMA Model; Kaya Model

Identifiers

PMID40931747
PMCPMC12417981

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.