Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40931222›Full record

ArticlePharmaceutical research2025

Fraction-based Linear Extrapolation (FLEX) Method for Predicting Human Pharmacokinetic Clearance: Advanced Allometric Scaling Method and Machine Learning Approach.

Yuki Umemori, Koichi Handa, Saki Yoshimura, Michiharu Kageyama

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Article in Pharmaceutical research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Yuki UmemoriAxcelead Tokyo West Partners, Inc. Translational Science, Discovery DMPK, Hino-Shi, Tokyo, 191-0065, Japan.
Koichi HandaAxcelead Tokyo West Partners, Inc. Translational Science, Discovery DMPK, Hino-Shi, Tokyo, 191-0065, Japan. koichi.handa.0722@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2748-9742
Saki YoshimuraAxcelead Tokyo West Partners, Inc. Translational Science, Discovery DMPK, Hino-Shi, Tokyo, 191-0065, Japan.
Michiharu KageyamaAxcelead Tokyo West Partners, Inc. Translational Science, Discovery DMPK, Hino-Shi, Tokyo, 191-0065, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeAccurate prediction of human clearance (CL) is essential in early drug development. Single Species Scaling (SSS) using rat pharmacokinetic (PK) data, particularly with unbound plasma fraction (f

methodsWe developed a new approach, called Fraction-based Linear EXtrapolation SSS (FLEX-SSS fu Rat), which switches between SSS fu Rat and SSS Rat formulas based on an optimized fu threshold. The threshold and scaling coefficients were derived using a training set of 200 compounds. Additionally, a random forest (RF) machine learning model was built using molecular descriptors. Both models were validated using an external dataset of 62 compounds.

resultsAll five predictive models showed comparable performance; among them, the consensus model combining FLEX-SSS fu Rat and RF yielded the best result: 40.3% within 2-fold error, only 16.1% above 5-fold, and GMFE of 2.7.

conclusionThis study is the first to systematically validate SSS fu Rat using an independent dataset. The integration of threshold-based allometry and machine learning enabled more accurate human CL prediction, supporting informed decisions in first-in-human dose selection.

Indexed as

Machine LearningModels, BiologicalPharmacokineticsAnimalsDrug DevelopmentHumansMetabolic Clearance RatePharmaceutical PreparationsRatsSpecies SpecificityPharmaceutical PreparationsAllometric scalingClearanceDrug discoveryMachine learningPlasma protein binding

Identifiers

PMID40931222

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.