Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40929049›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2025

A deadly equation: The global toll of US TB funding cuts.

Sandip Mandal, Sreenivas Nair, Suvanand Sahu, Lucica Ditiu, Carel Pretorius

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. A model for the epidemiological impact of tuberculosis policy options.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Implications of year 1 Trump Administration policies for Americans' lung health.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Optimizing TB policies using the global TB portfolio model: an economic analysis.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sandip MandalCenter for Modeling and Analysis, Avenir Health, Glastonbury, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5651-8632
Sreenivas NairStop TB Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.
Suvanand SahuStop TB Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.
Lucica DitiuStop TB Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.
Carel PretoriusCenter for Modeling and Analysis, Avenir Health, Glastonbury, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-9223-4013

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The recent withdrawal of U.S. financial support threatens essential TB service delivery, including diagnostics, treatment, TB-HIV co-infection interventions and research initiatives critical to eradicating TB. This study analyses the dependency of and potential impact of funding cuts to 26 high-burden TB countries (HBCs). We modelled three recovery scenarios: (1) minimal impact (services recover within three months), (2) moderate impact (recovery within one year), and (3) worst-case scenario (long-term service reduction). Extrapolations were made for all 26 HBCs based on representative countries from each dependency category. Across all 26 HBCs, additional TB cases between 2025 and 2030 are estimated at 0.63 million (CI 0.45-0.81) (minimal impact), 1.66 million (CI 1.2-2.1) (moderate impact), and 10.67 million (CI 7.85-13.19) (worst-case). Corresponding TB deaths are projected to increase by 99,900 (CI 65,200-130,000), 268,600 (CI 185,800-337,900), and 2,243,700 (CI 1,570,800-2,807,300), respectively. The loss of U.S. funding endangers global TB control efforts, jeopardizing progress towards End TB and SDG targets, and potentially puts millions of lives at risk. While some nations may adapt, short-term disruptions will severely impact vulnerable populations. Urgent alternative funding is needed to sustain critical TB prevention and treatment efforts.

Identifiers

PMID40929049
PMCPMC12422474

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.