Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40928386›Full record

Observational studyInternational journal of surgery (London, England)2026

Non-invasive prediction of invasive lung adenocarcinoma and high-risk histopathological characteristics in resectable early-stage adenocarcinoma by [18F]FDG PET/CT radiomics-based machine learning models: a prospective cohort study.

Xinghui Cao, Zhilei Lv, Yan Li, Minglei Li, Yuanyang Hu, Mengyuan Liang, Jingjing Deng, Xueyun Tan, Sufei Wang, Wei Geng and 11 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in International journal of surgery (London, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Xinghui CaoDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Zhilei LvDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Yan LiDepartment of Pathology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Minglei LiHubei Province Engineering Research Center for Tumor-Targeted Biochemotherapy, MOE Key Laboratory of Biological Targeted Therapy, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Yuanyang HuDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Mengyuan LiangHubei Province Engineering Research Center for Tumor-Targeted Biochemotherapy, MOE Key Laboratory of Biological Targeted Therapy, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Jingjing DengHubei Province Engineering Research Center for Tumor-Targeted Biochemotherapy, MOE Key Laboratory of Biological Targeted Therapy, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Xueyun TanHubei Province Engineering Research Center for Tumor-Targeted Biochemotherapy, MOE Key Laboratory of Biological Targeted Therapy, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Sufei WangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Wei GengDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Juanjuan XuDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Ping LuoHubei Province Key Laboratory of Biological Targeted Therapy, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Mei ZhouDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Wenjing XiaoDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Mengfei GuoDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Jiatong LiuDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Qi HuangDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Shengqing HuDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Yice SunDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Xiaoli LanDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Yang JinDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Hubei Province Clinical Research Center for Major Respiratory Diseases, Key Laboratory of Pulmonary Diseases of National Health Commission, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.ORCID 0000-0003-2409-7073

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrecise preoperative discrimination of invasive lung adenocarcinoma (IA) from preinvasive lesions (adenocarcinoma in situ [AIS]/minimally invasive adenocarcinoma [MIA]) and prediction of high-risk histopathological features are critical for optimizing resection strategies in early-stage lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).

methodsIn this multicenter study, 813 LUAD patients (tumors ≤3 cm) formed the training cohort. A total of 1709 radiomic features were extracted from the PET/CT images. Feature selection was performed using the max-relevance and min-redundancy algorithm and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. Hybrid machine learning models integrating [18F]FDG PET/CT radiomics and clinical-radiological features were developed using H2O.ai AutoML. Models were validated in a prospective internal cohort ( N = 256, 2021-2022) and external multicenter cohort ( N = 418). Performance was assessed via area under the curve (AUC), calibration, decision curve analysis (DCA), and survival assessment.

resultsThe hybrid model achieved AUCs of 0.93 (95% CI: 0.90-0.96) for distinguishing IA from AIS/MIA (internal test) and 0.92 (0.90-0.95) in external testing. For predicting high-risk histopathological features (grade-III, lymphatic/pleural/vascular/nerve invasion, and spread through air spaces), AUCs were 0.82 (0.77-0.88) and 0.85 (0.81-0.89) in internal/external sets. DCA confirmed superior net benefit over CT model. The model stratified progression-free ( P = 0.002) and overall survival ( P = 0.017) in the TCIA cohort.

conclusionPET/CT radiomics-based models enable accurate non-invasive prediction of invasiveness and high-risk pathology in early-stage LUAD, guiding optimal surgical resection.

Indexed as

Adenocarcinoma of LungLung NeoplasmsMachine LearningPositron Emission Tomography Computed TomographyAgedFemaleFluorodeoxyglucose F18HumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm InvasivenessNeoplasm StagingProspective StudiesRadiomicsRadiopharmaceuticalsFluorodeoxyglucose F18Radiopharmaceuticalscohort studylung adenocarcinomamulticenterPET/CTradiomicsthoracic surgery

Identifiers

PMID40928386
PMCPMC12825667

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.