Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40927952›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2026

Disentangling Temporal Trends of Clade Ib Monkeypox Virus Transmission in Burundi.

Shihui Jin, Toshiaki R Asakura, Hiroaki Murayama, Sung-Mok Jung, David Niyukuri, Joseph Nyandwi, Liliane Nkengurutse, Olivier Kamatari, Jue Tao Lim, Akira Endo and 1 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Shihui JinSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0003-0079-7390
Toshiaki R AsakuraDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Dynamics, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Hiroaki MurayamaSchool of Medicine, International University of Health and Welfare, Narita, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7219-5981
Sung-Mok JungSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-0787-4515
David NiyukuriDoctoral School, University of Burundi, Bujumbura, Burundi.
Joseph NyandwiNational Institute of Public Health, Bujumbura, Burundi.
Liliane NkengurutseDoctoral School, University of Burundi, Bujumbura, Burundi.
Olivier KamatariDoctoral School, University of Burundi, Bujumbura, Burundi.
Jue Tao LimLee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-2245-0331
Akira EndoSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-6377-7296
Borame L DickensSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore.

Funding

CDCCDC HHSEmpowering People ProgramImperial Research Collaboration Fund INCF-2023-007International Development Research CentreJapan Agency for Medical Research and Development JP223fa627004Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and TechnologyJapan Science and Technology Agency JPMJPR22R3KAKENHI JP24KJ1827MEXTMinistry of Education Reimagine ResearchNagasaki University World-leading Innovative & Smart EducationNanyang Technological UniversityNational University of Singapore Start-Up GrantPREPARERotary Foundation GG2350294SHEPheRD 200-2016-91781Singapore Ministry of HealthWISE
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Utilizing mpox case data from Burundi between August 2024 and April 2025, we calibrated a mathematical model to quantify the temporal trends of clade Ib monkeypox virus transmission. The model outputs indicated a declining overall transmission trend. Children aged 0-4 and 5-9 years were estimated to be at higher risk of infection compared to older age groups, while sexual contact was inferred to contribute up to 50% of the overall transmission.

Indexed as

Monkeypox virusMpox, MonkeypoxAdolescentAdultBurundiChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMiddle AgedModels, TheoreticalYoung AdultBurundiclade Ibmonkeypox virusmpoxtransmission

Identifiers

PMID40927952
PMCPMC12811874

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.