Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40927368›Full record

ArticleBayesian analysis2025

Causally Sound Priors for Binary Experiments.

Nicholas J Irons, Carlos Cinelli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bayesian analysis, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Nicholas J IronsDepartment of Statistics and Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Carlos CinelliDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.

Funding

T32 Data Science and Demography Training BSSRT32HD101442 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Zack W Almquist, SARA R. CURRAN · 2020 to 2026
$2.0M
NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD101442
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We introduce the BREASE framework for the Bayesian analysis of randomized controlled trials with binary treatment and outcome. Approaching the problem from a causal inference perspective, we propose parameterizing the likelihood in terms of the

Indexed as

Binomial ProportionsGeneralized DirichletPotential OutcomesPrimary 62F15, 62F03secondary 62P10

Identifiers

PMID40927368
PMCPMC12416923

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.