Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40918203›Full record

ArticleBiosafety and health2025

Random forest-based predictor selection and pneumonia risk probability assessment in acute respiratory infections: A cross-sectional study in Chongqing, China, 2023-2024.

Yunshao Xu, Yuping Duan, Jule Yang, Mingyue Jiang, Yanxia Sun, Yanlin Cao, Li Qi, Zeni Wu, Luzhao Feng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biosafety and health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yunshao XuPublic Health Emergency Management Innovation Center, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Key Laboratory of Pathogen Infection Prevention and Control (Peking Union Medical College), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100005, China.
Yuping DuanPublic Health Emergency Management Innovation Center, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Key Laboratory of Pathogen Infection Prevention and Control (Peking Union Medical College), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100005, China.
Jule YangInfectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing 400700, China.
Mingyue JiangPublic Health Emergency Management Innovation Center, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Key Laboratory of Pathogen Infection Prevention and Control (Peking Union Medical College), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100005, China.
Yanxia SunPublic Health Emergency Management Innovation Center, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Key Laboratory of Pathogen Infection Prevention and Control (Peking Union Medical College), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100005, China.
Yanlin CaoPublic Health Emergency Management Innovation Center, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Key Laboratory of Pathogen Infection Prevention and Control (Peking Union Medical College), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100005, China.
Li QiInfectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing 400700, China.
Zeni WuPublic Health Emergency Management Innovation Center, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Key Laboratory of Pathogen Infection Prevention and Control (Peking Union Medical College), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100005, China.
Luzhao FengPublic Health Emergency Management Innovation Center, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Key Laboratory of Pathogen Infection Prevention and Control (Peking Union Medical College), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100005, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Progression of acute respiratory infection (ARI) to pneumonia increases severity and healthcare burden. Limited evidence exists on using machine learning to identify predictors from demographics, clinical, and pathogen detection data. This study aimed to identify pneumonia predictors in ARI patients using machine learning methods. This observational study was conducted in Chongqing, China, from September 2023 to April 2024. Outpatients and inpatients with ARI were recruited weekly. A random forest algorithm was used for predictor selection, followed by a logistic regression-based nomogram to analyze the probability of pneumonia. Among the 1,638 patients with ARI, those with pneumonia had higher rates of influenza A virus (IFV-A) (49.2 % vs. 39.6 %), influenza B virus (26.3 % vs. 18.6 %), and respiratory syncytial virus (6.1 % vs. 1.9 %) infection than those without pneumonia. In the subgroup of 79 patients with comprehensive blood tests, pneumonia was positively associated with hemoglobin (130.00 g/L vs. 124.00 g/L), blood urea nitrogen (5.73 mmol/L vs. 4.85 mmol/L), C-reactive protein (36.10 mg/L vs. 25.25 mg/L), procalcitonin (0.11 μg/L vs. 0.07 μg/L), and D-dimer (0.95  μg/L vs. 0.80 μg/L) levels, whereas pneumonia was inversely associated with neutrophils (4.20 × 10

Indexed as

Acute respiratory infection (ARI)D-dimerInfluenza A virus (IFV-A)PneumoniaRandom forest algorithm

Identifiers

PMID40918203
PMCPMC12412401

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.