Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40914168›Full record

Observational studyCell reports. Medicine2025

ctDNA detects residual disease after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and guides adjuvant therapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Zhichao Liu, Guoqiang Wang, Yang Yang, Yuchen Su, Hong Zhang, Jun Liu, Peng Cui, Xuning Fan, Jinyu Yang, Zhihong Zhang and 9 more

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Cell reports. Medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03937362 completednot on this map

Accuracy of Detecting Residual Disease After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: the preSINO Trial (Pre-Surgery If Needed for Oesophageal Cancer)

TypeobservationalSponsorShanghai Chest HospitalRan2019 to 2024Enrolled200ConditionsEsophageal CancerArmsFirst clinical response evaluation (CRE-1), Second clinical response evaluation (CRE-2)
NCT07371247 early_phase1enrolling by invitationnot on this map

Based on ctDNA-MRD Guided Adjuvant Treatment Escalation After Definitive Chemoradiotherapy for Unresectable Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: a Study on Safety and Efficacy

TypeinterventionalSponsorThe First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical UniversityRan2025 to 2027Enrolled65ConditionsEsophageal Cancer, MRD, ctDNAArmsStep-up therapy, Standard treatment Routine treatment
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Practical integration of ctDNA-defined minimal residual disease in gastrointestinal cancers: testing windows and evidence-aligned management frameworks.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Zhichao LiuDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Thoracic Tumor Biotherapy, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200030, China; Shanghai Institute of Thoracic Oncology, Shanghai 200030, China.
Guoqiang WangBurning Rock Biotech, Guangzhou 510300, China.
Yang YangDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Thoracic Tumor Biotherapy, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200030, China.
Yuchen SuCenter for Esophageal Diseases, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200030, China.
Hong ZhangCenter for Esophageal Diseases, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200030, China.
Jun LiuDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200030, China.
Peng CuiBurning Rock Biotech, Guangzhou 510300, China.
Xuning FanBurning Rock Biotech, Guangzhou 510300, China.
Jinyu YangBurning Rock Biotech, Guangzhou 510300, China.
Zhihong ZhangBurning Rock Biotech, Guangzhou 510300, China.
Xing GaoDepartment of Surgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, 3015GD Rotterdam, the Netherlands; Division of Thoracic Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital-Linkou, Chang Gung University, Taiwan 33305, China.
Yinkai ChaoDivision of Thoracic Surgery, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital-Linkou, Chang Gung University, Taiwan 33305, China.
Bianca MostertDepartment of Medical Oncology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, 3015GD Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
J Jan B van LanschotDepartment of Surgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, 3015GD Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Bas P L WijnhovenDepartment of Surgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, 3015GD Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Simon LawDepartment of Surgery, LKS Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong 999077, China.
Chunguang LiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Thoracic Tumor Biotherapy, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200030, China; Shanghai Institute of Thoracic Oncology, Shanghai 200030, China. Electronic address: dr_chunguang_li@shsmu.edu.cn.
Shangli CaiBurning Rock Biotech, Guangzhou 510300, China. Electronic address: shangli.cai@brbiotech.com.
Zhigang LiDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Thoracic Tumor Biotherapy, Shanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200030, China; Shanghai Institute of Thoracic Oncology, Shanghai 200030, China. Electronic address: zhigang.li@shsmu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The diagnostic accuracy of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) for detecting molecular residual disease (MRD) after multimodal treatment remains unclear. In a prospective cohort of 132 patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by clinical response evaluation and surgery, tumor-informed personalized-panel and fixed-panel ctDNA assays are applied to serial blood samples. Personalized ctDNA assay demonstrates a superior baseline detection rate (99.2%) and outperforms fixed panels in diagnosing post-nCRT residual disease. Integrating personalized ctDNA with conventional clinical diagnostic methods increases sensitivity for predicting non-pathological complete response (non-pCR) from 78.4%-80.7% to 92.0%-93.2%. Patients with detectable MRD post-nCRT and/or post-surgery exhibit worse survival outcomes. In non-pCR patients, adjuvant immunotherapy improves disease-free survival in post-surgery MRD-positive cases, whereas MRD-negative patients derive no benefit. These findings support incorporating ctDNA into response assessment to guide organ-sparing strategies and adjuvant therapy decisions in ESCC. This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03937362).

Indexed as

Circulating Tumor DNAEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomaNeoadjuvant TherapyNeoplasm, ResidualAdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorChemoradiotherapyChemoradiotherapy, AdjuvantDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAadjuvant immunotherapycirculating tumor DNAesophageal squamous cell carcinomamolecular residual diseaseneoadjuvant chemoradiotherapyorgan preservation

Identifiers

PMID40914168
PMCPMC12490249

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.