Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40913401›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2026

Evaluating distant recurrence-free survival and location of metastasis in HER2+ breast cancer by ER status.

Damien Kaukonen, Alexander Ploner, Erwei Zeng, Jenny Bergqvist, Kamila Czene

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Damien KaukonenMedical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4011-8965
Alexander PlonerMedical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Erwei ZengMedical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Jenny BergqvistMedical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Kamila CzeneMedical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Funding

Cancerfonden 22 2207Cancerföreningen i Stockholm 231003Stockholms Läns Landsting RS 2022-0674Vetenskapsrådet 2022-00584
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prognostic factors, such as the Human Epidermal growth factor Receptor 2 (HER2) and Estrogen Receptor (ER) influence distant recurrence-free survival (RFS) in breast cancer. This study aims to evaluate the interaction between HER2 and ER status with RFS, and if that interaction influences where the metastasis is located. To do this, we used a study population of all women diagnosed with non-metastatic, invasive breast cancer in Stockholm from 2007 to 2020. Flexible parametric survival models were used to estimate time-varying survival and hazard ratios (HR) for RFS. Cumulative incidence was used to quantify rates of metastasis in key locations. We found significant interactions between ER and HER2 for RFS (p = 0.037), which was time varying (p = 0.017). For ER+ patients, adjusted short-term survival at 2.5 years after diagnosis was identical for HER2+ compared to HER2- patients (HR 1.02, CI; 0.76-1.39), but was dramatically better for HER2+ patients after 5 years (HR at 7.5 years 0.29, CI; 0.14-0.58). In contrast, among ER- patients, HER2+ patients experienced constant risk compared to HER2- from diagnosis until the end of the study (HR ~0.50). Finally, we observed that HER2+ patients have a higher rate of first metastasis to the brain than HER2- patients (p < 0.001). Our study demonstrates that the interaction between ER and HER2 status has a time-varying impact on RFS and plays a role in determining the location of metastasis. Thus, the utilization of complex models that combine ER and HER2 status can enhance the understanding of patient RFS and the likelihood of metastasis in specific locations.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalReceptors, EstrogenAdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisPrognosisSwedenBiomarkers, TumorERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesReceptors, Estrogenbreast cancerflexible parametric modellingHER2+location of metastasisrecurrence‐free survival

Identifiers

PMID40913401
PMCPMC12765962

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.