Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40911592›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2025

Short-term ambient heat exposure and low APGAR score in newborns: A time-stratified case-crossover analysis in São Paulo state, Brazil (2013-2019).

Michelle Del Carretto, Audrey Godin, Danielson Neves, Enny S Paixão, Kai Wan, Julia Pescarini, Andrêa Ferreira, Taísa R Cortes, Liam Smeeth, Maurício L Barreto and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Michelle Del CarrettoFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6262-8165
Audrey GodinFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7444-6855
Danielson NevesCentro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brasil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1603-4980
Enny S PaixãoFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Kai WanFaculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Julia PescariniFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Andrêa FerreiraCentro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brasil.
Taísa R CortesCentro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brasil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8981-1373
Liam SmeethFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Maurício L BarretoCentro de Integração de Dados e Conhecimentos para Saúde, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brasil.
Elizabeth B BrickleyFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Chérie PartFaculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3281-1671

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Exposure to high ambient temperatures near the time of delivery has been associated with adverse birth outcomes, but studies examining the impact on immediate newborn health remain limited. We used a time-stratified case-crossover design combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model to evaluate the short-term effects of ambient heat (0-1 day lag) on low 5-minute APGAR score (≤7; sub-categories: 6-7, 3-5, 0-2). Cases of low APGAR score among low-risk births (n = 34,980) in São Paulo state (274 municipalities), 2013-2019, were extracted from Brazil's Live Birth Information System (Sistema de Informações Sobre Nascidos Vivos). Municipality-level daily mean temperatures were constructed from ERA5-Land reanalysis data and linked with case and control days by date and municipality of delivery. Models were adjusted for relative humidity and stratified by maternal age, race/ethnicity, education, parity, timing of prenatal care initiation, infant sex, municipality-level deprivation, and Köppen climate zone. Overall, exposure to high (95th percentile: 26.1°C) versus moderate (50th percentile: 20.9°C) temperature 0-1 days before delivery was associated with 8% higher odds (OR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.02-1.14) of low APGAR score (≤7). In stratified analyses, heat-associated risks were elevated among infants born to women with <12 years of schooling (1.10, 1.03-1.17) and/or self-identifying as Brown/Parda (1.10, 1.01-1.20). Associations were primarily driven by same-day (lag 0) exposure and were only observed in newborns with moderately low APGAR scores (6-7). Acute exposure to ambient heat may adversely impact newborns' immediate health in low-risk live-births, highlighting the need for heat mitigation measures near the time of delivery.

Identifiers

PMID40911592
PMCPMC12412926

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.