Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40909849›Full record

ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2025

An evaluation of a Bayesian method to track outbreaks of known and novel influenza-like illnesses.

John M Aronis, Ye Ye, Jessi Espino, Marian G Michaels, Harry Hochheiser, Gregory F Cooper

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

John M AronisDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5821-3672
Ye YeDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1138-9846
Jessi EspinoDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Marian G MichaelsDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, UPMC Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2556-0544
Harry HochheiserDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8793-9982
Gregory F CooperDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9276-773X

Funding

MIDAS Coordination CenterU24GM132013 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI HOCHHEISER, HARRY S · 2019 to 2023
$8.1M
MIDAS Coordination Center - Year 6-10R24GM153920 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI HARRY S HOCHHEISER · 2024 to 2026
$4.3M
Automated Surveillance of Overlapping Outbreaks and New Outbreak DiseasesR01LM013509 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI COOPER, GREGORY F. · 2021 to 2023
$1.0M
Transfer learning to improve the re-usability of computable biomedical knowledgeR00LM013383 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI YE, YE · 2022 to 2024
$710k
ACL HHS U01IP001184NCIRD CDC HHS U01 IP001152NIGMS NIH HHS R24 GM153920NIGMS NIH HHS U24 GM132013NLM NIH HHS R00 LM013383NLM NIH HHS R01 LM013509
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tracking known influenza-like illnesses, such as influenza, is an important problem in public health and clinical medicine. The problem is complicated by the clinical similarity and co-occurrence of many of these illnesses. Additionally, detecting a new or reemergent disease, such as COVID-19, is of paramount importance as recent history has shown. This paper describes the testing of a system that tracks known influenza-like illnesses and can detect the presence of a novel disease.

Identifiers

PMID40909849
PMCPMC12407607

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.