Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40909786›Full record

ArticleResearch square2025

Multi-scale Data Improves Performance of Machine Learning Model for Long COVID Prediction.

Wei-Qi Wei, Christopher Guardo, Xinmeng Zhang, Srushti Gandireddy, Chao Yan, Vern Kerchberger, Alyson Dickson, Emily Pfaff, Hiral Master, Melissa Basford and 13 more

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in Research square, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Wei-Qi WeiVanderbilt University Medical Center.ORCID 0000-0003-4985-056X
Christopher GuardoVanderbilt University Medical Center.
Xinmeng ZhangVanderbilt University Medical Center.
Srushti GandireddyVanderbilt University Medical Center.
Chao YanVanderbilt University Medical Center.ORCID 0000-0002-6719-1388
Vern KerchbergerVanderbilt University Medical Center.ORCID 0000-0002-0342-1965
Alyson DicksonVanderbilt University Medical Center.ORCID 0000-0003-3404-3802
Emily PfaffUniversity of North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6840-9756
Hiral MasterVanderbilt University Medical.ORCID 0000-0003-0019-3087
Melissa BasfordVanderbilt Institute of Clinical and Translational Research/Vanderbilt University Medical Center.
Christopher ChuteJohns Hopkins University.ORCID 0000-0001-5437-2545
Nguyen TranStanford University School of Medicine.ORCID 0000-0002-5093-4499
Salvatore ManuscoOakland University.
Toufeeq SyedUTHealth Houston.
Zhongming ZhaoUTHealth Houston.
QiPing FengVanderbilt University Medical Center.ORCID 0000-0002-6213-793X
Melissa HaendelUniversity of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus.
Christopher LuntAll of Us Research Program.ORCID 0000-0002-8504-0735
Paul HarrisVanderbilt University Medical Center.ORCID 0000-0002-1744-2011
Lang LiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, the Ohio State University.
Geoffrey GinsburgAll of US Research Program National Institutes of Health.
Joshua DennyVanderbilt University Medical Center.
Dan RodenVanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.ORCID 0000-0002-6302-0389

Funding

Technology to Empower Changes in Health (TECH) Network Participant Technologies CenterU24OD023176 · OD · SCRIPPS RESEARCH INSTITUTE, THE · PI TOPOL, ERIC JEFFREY · 2016 to 2022
$204.7M
Precision Medicine Initiative Cohort Program BiobankU24OD023121 · OD · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI CEKANOVA, MARIA, CICEK, MINE · 2016 to 2024
$185.5M
Enhancing All of Us Data Resources for Nutrition Precision Health: the All of Us Data and Research CenterU2COD023196 · OD · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI GLAZER, DAVID, HARRIS, PAUL A. · 2016 to 2022
$143.7M
Adaptive Platform for Personalized EngagementU24OD023163 · OD · VIGNET, INC. · PI JAIN, PRADUMAN · 2017 to 2020
$102.6M
University of Arizona-Banner Health All of Us Research Program OT2OD026549 · OD · UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA · PI MORENO, FRANCISCO A, REIMAN, ERIC MICHAEL · 2018 to 2023
$78.9M
California Precision Medicine Research Program ConsortiumOT2OD026552 · OD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI ANTON-CULVER, HODA A, OHNO-MACHADO, LUCILA · 2018 to 2023
$73.4M
All of Us PennsylvaniaOT2OD026554 · OD · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REIS, STEVEN E, VISWESWARAN, SHYAM · 2018 to 2023
$72.1M
New York City Consortium for Precision MedicineOT2OD026556 · OD · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI BIER, LOUISE E, GHARAVI, ALI G · 2018 to 2023
$67.3M
SouthEast Enrollment Center (SEEC) OT2OD026551 · OD · UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI CARRASQUILLO, OLVEEN, COLON, VIVIAN · 2018 to 2023
$62.8M
Southern All of Us NetworkOT2OD026548 · OD · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI FOUAD, MONA N., KORF, BRUCE R · 2018 to 2023
$60.5M
Illinois Precision Medicine Consortium OT2OD026557 · OD · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI AHSAN, HABIBUL, ARGOS, MARIA · 2018 to 2023
$60.5M
The New England Precision Medicine Consortium of the All of Us Research ProgramOT2OD026553 · OD · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CLARK, CHERYL RENEE, KARLSON, ELIZABETH W · 2018 to 2023
$58.8M
NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG011181NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL157755NIA NIH HHS R01 AG069900NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM139891NIH HHS OT2 OD023205NIH HHS OT2 OD023206NIH HHS OT2 OD025276NIH HHS OT2 OD025277NIH HHS OT2 OD025315NIH HHS OT2 OD025337NIH HHS OT2 OD026548NIH HHS OT2 OD026549NIH HHS OT2 OD026550NIH HHS OT2 OD026551NIH HHS OT2 OD026552NIH HHS OT2 OD026553NIH HHS OT2 OD026554NIH HHS OT2 OD026555NIH HHS OT2 OD026556NIH HHS OT2 OD026557NIH HHS U24 OD023121NIH HHS U24 OD023163NIH HHS U24 OD023176NIH HHS U2C OD023196
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Long COVID affects a substantial proportion of the over 778 million individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2, yet predictive models remain limited in scope. While existing efforts, such as the National COVID Cohort Collaborative (N3C), have leveraged electronic health record (EHR) data for risk prediction, accumulating evidence points to additional contributions from social, behavioral, and genetic factors. Using a diverse cohort of SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals (n>17,200) from the NIH All of Us Research Program, we investigated whether integrating EHR data with survey-based and genomic information improves model performance. Our multi-scale approach outperformed EHR-only models original AUROC 0.736 (95% CI: 0.730, 0.741), achieving an AUROC of 0.748 (0.741,0.755). Among the top predictors, active-duty service status, self-reported fatigue, and chr19:4719431:G:A_A were among the most informative survey and genetic features. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating multi-scale data to improve risk stratification and inform personalized interventions for long COVID.

Identifiers

PMID40909786
PMCPMC12408029

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.