Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40909095›Full record

ArticleBrain communications2025

Persistent progression independent of relapse activity in multiple sclerosis.

Chao Zhu, Zhen Zhou, Tomas Kalincik, Izanne Roos, Katherine Buzzard, Olga Skibina, Raed Alroughani, Jens Kuhle, Marc Girard, Pierre Grammond and 35 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Brain communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Detecting progressing events in multiple sclerosis clinics in real-time is possible: Yes.Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England) · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

45 authors.

Chao ZhuDepartment of Neuroscience, School of Translational Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3951-7501
Zhen ZhouSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0835-8686
Tomas KalincikCORe, Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3778-1376
Izanne RoosCORe, Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0371-3666
Katherine BuzzardEastern Health Clinical School, Monash University, Box Hill, VIC 3128, Australia.
Olga SkibinaEastern Health Clinical School, Monash University, Box Hill, VIC 3128, Australia.
Raed AlroughaniAmiri Hospital, Sharq 73767, Kuwait.
Jens KuhleUniversity Hospital and University of Basel, Basel 4000, Switzerland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6963-8892
Marc GirardCHUM and Universite de Montreal, Montreal, Canada, H2L 4M1.
Pierre GrammondCISSS Chaudière-Appalache, Levis, Canada, G6X 0A1.
Jeannette Lechner-ScottUniversity Newcastle, Newcastle 2035, Australia.
Oliver GerlachZuyderland Medical Center, Sittard-Geleen 5500, Netherlands.
Nevin JohnSchool of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3168, Australia.
Pamela McCombeDepartment of Neurology, Royal Brisbane Hospital, Brisbane 4000, Australia.
Richard MacdonellAustin Health, Melbourne 3084, Australia.
Vincent van PeschDepartment of Neurology, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Brussels 1200, Belgium.
Guy LaureysDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital Ghent, Ghent 9000, Belgium.
Julie PrevostCSSS Saint-Jérôme, Saint-Jerome, Canada, J7Z 5T3.
Dana HorakovaDepartment of Neurology and Center of Clinical Neuroscience, Charles University in Prague and General University Hospital, Prague 12808, Czech Republic.
Eva Kubala HavrdovaDepartment of Neurology and Center of Clinical Neuroscience, Charles University in Prague and General University Hospital, Prague 12808, Czech Republic.
Tamara Castillo-TriviñoHospital Universitario Donostia and IIS Biodonostia, San Sebastián 20014, Spain.
Cristina Ramo-TelloDepartment of Neuroscience, Hospital Germans Trias i Pujol, Badalona 8916, Spain.
Yolanda BlancoCenter of Neuroimmunology, Service of Neurology, Hospital Clinic de Barcelona, Barcelona 8916, Spain.
Jose E Meca-LallanaMultiple Sclerosis CSUR and Clinical Neuroimmunology Unit, Neurology Department, Virgen de la Arrixaca Clinical University Hospital, IMIB-Arrixaca, Murcia 30120, Spain.
Alessandra LugaresiDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Neuromotorie, Università di Bologna, Bologna 40139, Italy.
Valentina TomassiniInstitute for Advanced Biomedical Technologies (ITAB), Department of Neurosciences, Imaging and Clinical Sciences, University G. d'Annunzio of Chieti-Pescara, Chieti 66013, Italy.
Elisabetta CartechiniNeurology Unit, AST Macerata, Macerata 62100, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3760-0478
Maria Pia AmatoDepartment Neurofarba, University of Florence, Florence 50123, Italy.
Daniele SpitaleriAzienda Ospedaliera di Rilievo Nazionale San Giuseppe Moscati Avellino, Avellino 83100, Italy.
Francesco PattiDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences and Advanced Technologies, GF Ingrassia, Catania 95123, Italy.
Davide MaimoneAzienda Opsedaliera per l'Emergenza Cannizzaro, Catania 95126, Italy.
Matteo FoschiDepartment of Neuroscience, S. Maria delle Croci Hospital, AUSL Romagna, Ravenna 48121, Italy.
Andrea SurcinelliDepartment of Neuroscience, S. Maria delle Croci Hospital, AUSL Romagna, Ravenna 48121, Italy.
Emanuele D'AmicoMedical and Surgical Sciences, Universita di Foggia, Foggia 71122, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7494-9057
Bassem YamoutNeurology Institute, Harley Street Medical Center, Abu Dhabi 00000, UAE.
Samia J KhouryNehme and Therese Tohme Multiple Sclerosis Center, American University of Beirut Medical Center, Beirut 1107 2020, Lebanon.
Maria Jose SaDepartment of Neurology, Centro Hospitalar Universitario de Sao Joao, Porto 4200-319, Portugal.
Cavit BozDepartment of Neurology, Karadeniz Technical University, Medical Faculty, Trabzon 61080, Turkey.
Serkan OzakbasIzmir University of Economics, Medical Point Hospital, Izmir 35575, Turkey.
Bianca Weinstock-GuttmanDepartment of Neurology, Jacobs MS Center for Treatment and Research  14203, United States.
Daniel MerloDepartment of Neuroscience, School of Translational Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.
Mastura MonifDepartment of Neuroscience, School of Translational Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.
Vilija G JokubaitisDepartment of Neuroscience, School of Translational Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3942-4340
Anneke van der WaltDepartment of Neuroscience, School of Translational Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.
Helmut ButzkuevenDepartment of Neuroscience, School of Translational Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) may experience disability progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), which can be an early sign of secondary progressive MS (SPMS). We defined persistent PIRA as ongoing sustained disability over the entire available follow-up period. However, PIRA events can regress over time. Identifying factors that predict PIRA persistence is of great interest as they can refine the definition of RRMS to SPMS transition. Equally, factors associated with the non-persistence of PIRA have potential treatment implications for patients suffering from a PIRA event. We conducted a study to examine risk factors for PIRA persistence and risk differences in long-term disability progression between persistent and non-persistent PIRA. In this cohort study, we included only patients who had already experienced a PIRA event and investigated the persistence of disability progression following their first PIRA event. Therefore, PIRA occurrence time was set as the baseline. Data were collected from the MSBase registry between April 1995 and January 2024, with a median follow-up of 8.7 years. The primary outcome was time to 6-month confirmed non-persistence of PIRA. Secondary outcomes comprised time to 6-month confirmed Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 6 and time to SPMS. A stratified Cox regression model was used to identify risk factors associated with non-persistent PIRA. We then matched persistent PIRA patients with non-persistent PIRA patients in a 1:1 ratio using propensity scores, and compared their risk of reaching EDSS 6 using the Cox regression model. We re-matched patients with complete Kurtzke Functional Systems Scores to compare their risks of reaching SPMS. We included 4713 RRMS patients with PIRA, of whom around one-third experienced a post-PIRA disability improvement, over a relatively long period (median of 2.6 years to improvement). Use of high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (DMT) at baseline [hazard ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, (1.08-1.38);

Indexed as

disability improvementdisability progressionprogression independent of relapse activity (PIRA)relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS)secondary progressive MS (SPMS)

Identifiers

PMID40909095
PMCPMC12405762

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