Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40904988›Full record

ArticleRoyal Society open science2025

An integrated framework for modelling respiratory disease transmission and designing surveillance networks using a sentinel index.

Dérick G F Borges, Eluã R Coutinho, Daniel C P Jorge, Marcos E Barreto, Pablo I P Ramos, Manoel Barral-Netto, Alvaro L G A Coutinho, Luiz Landau, Suani T R Pinho, Roberto F S Andrade

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Royal Society open science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Dérick G F BorgesPhysics Institute, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7627-4452
Eluã R CoutinhoCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Instituto Gonçalo Moniz, FIOCRUZ Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2350-4319
Daniel C P JorgeDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4707-3234
Marcos E BarretoDepartment of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7818-1855
Pablo I P RamosCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Instituto Gonçalo Moniz, FIOCRUZ Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9075-7861
Manoel Barral-NettoCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Instituto Gonçalo Moniz, FIOCRUZ Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5823-7903
Alvaro L G A CoutinhoCOPPE - Department of Civil Engineering, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4764-1142
Luiz LandauCOPPE - Department of Civil Engineering, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7857-9946
Suani T R PinhoPhysics Institute, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1404-3485
Roberto F S AndradePhysics Institute, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9323-1400

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Defining epidemiologically relevant placements for sentinel units is critical for establishing effective health surveillance systems. We propose a novel methodology to identify optimal sentinel unit locations using network approaches and metapopulation modelling. Disease transmission dynamics were modelled using syndromic data on respiratory diseases, integrated with road mobility data. A generalizable sentinel index is introduced as a metric that evaluates the suitability of a site to host a sentinel unit, based on topological metrics and metapopulation dynamics. A case study using syndromic data from primary health care attendances in Bahia, Brazil, validated the relevance of existing sentinel units while identifying opportunities for local re-designs to improve disease surveillance coverage.

Indexed as

epidemiological surveillanceepidemiological systems dynamicsnetwork sciencerespiratory disease

Identifiers

PMID40904988
PMCPMC12404808

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.