Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40903496›Full record

ReviewNature reviews. Endocrinology2026

Unravelling the rise in thyroid cancer incidence and addressing overdiagnosis.

Debbie W Chen, Megan R Haymart

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature reviews. Endocrinology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Heme oxygenase-1 in thyroid cancer: a context-dependent regulator.Journal of endocrinological investigation · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Thyroid cancer risk in people living with HIV: a systematic review and meta-analysis of global population-based registry studies.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
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  11. Article
  12. Review
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  18. Article
  19. FAM19A5 is an independent prognostic biomarker in thyroid cancer.American journal of translational research · 2026
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Debbie W ChenDivision of Metabolism, Endocrinology, and Diabetes, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Megan R HaymartDivision of Metabolism, Endocrinology, and Diabetes, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. meganhay@med.umich.edu.

Funding

Risk-stratified care for thyroid cancer survivorsR01CA281976 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Megan Rist Haymart · 2024 to 2026
$2.0M
Personalized Cancer Support for Young AdultsR34CA286602 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SARAH T HAWLEY, Megan Rist Haymart · 2024 to 2026
$882k
Optimization of Thyroid Nodule Care Delivery to Reduce the Burden of Thyroid CancerK08CA273047 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Debbie Wan Hua Chen · 2023 to 2026
$730k
NCI NIH HHS K08 CA273047NCI NIH HHS R01 CA281976NCI NIH HHS R34 CA286602
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The global incidence of thyroid cancer has risen sharply since the 1980s, whereas thyroid cancer mortality rates have remained relatively stable. Much of the increase in incidence can be attributed to overdiagnosis of small and indolent papillary thyroid cancers, which has largely been driven by widespread (and sometimes inappropriate) use of imaging studies, especially thyroid and neck ultrasonography. To a lesser extent, increases in the incidence rate of advanced-stage thyroid cancer over the past four decades have also contributed to the observed trends. This Review describes changes in the incidence of thyroid cancer over the past 40 years, outlines well-known and potential risk factors, including obesity and environmental exposures, and explores strategies to address the public-health issues of overdiagnosis and the consequent overtreatment of thyroid cancer.

Indexed as

OverdiagnosisThyroid NeoplasmsHumansIncidenceMedical OveruseRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID40903496
PMCPMC12814954

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.