Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40903053›Full record

ArticleRMD open2025

Accrual of thromboembolic events and antiphospholipid syndrome in new-onset systemic lupus erythematosus: a population-based inception cohort study.

Sigrid Reppe Moe, Hilde Haukeland, Cathrine Brunborg, Antonela Botea, Nenad Damjanic, Gro Årthun Wivestad, Heidi Kverneggen Øvreås, Thea Bjerkestrand Bøe, Anniken Orre, Garen Torhild and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in RMD open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Sigrid Reppe MoeDepartment of Rheumatology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway sigrid@repmoe.no.ORCID 0000-0003-1008-8352
Hilde HaukelandDepartment of Rheumatology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0009-0006-8536-0591
Cathrine BrunborgOslo Centre for Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Research Support Services, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Antonela BoteaDepartment of Rheumatology, Betanien Hospital, Skien, Norway.
Nenad DamjanicDepartment of Rheumatology, Østfold Hospital, Grålum, Norway.
Gro Årthun WivestadDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, Sorlandet Hospital Kristiansand, Kristiansand, Norway.
Heidi Kverneggen ØvreåsDepartment of Rheumatology, Lillehammer Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Lillehammer, Norway.
Thea Bjerkestrand BøeDepartment of Internal Medicine, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.
Anniken OrreDepartment of Rheumatology, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Drammen, Norway.
Garen TorhildDepartment of Rheumatology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Sella Aarrestad ProvanCenter for treatment of Rheumatic and Musculoskeletal Diseases (REMEDY), Diakonhjemmet Hospital, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-5442-902X
Øyvind MolbergDepartment of Rheumatology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Karoline LerangDepartment of Rheumatology, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis population-based study aimed to determine timing and incidence of arterial and venous thromboembolic events (TE) and antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) relative to systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) onset and assess relationships between TE, APS and anti-phospholipid antibodies (aPL) during follow-up.

methodsWe included all medical-record confirmed new-onset SLE patients in Southeast Norway (population 2.9 million) 2000-2017 who fulfilled the 2019 European Alliance of Rheumatology Associations/American College of Rheumatology classification criteria. APS was defined by the 2006 Sydney classification criteria, and aPL positivity was determined following international guidelines. Key outcomes were APS, TE and death. We estimated outcome-free survival using Kaplan-Meier methods.

resultsAmong 700 new-onset SLE patients followed for a mean of 8 years (SD 5.0), 13% (89/700) experienced a new TE. TE incidence peaked at 59 per 100 person-years (95% CI 38 to 87) in the first year of SLE among aPL positive patients diagnosed with APS, falling to 12 (95% CI 6.2 to 21) in the subsequent 4 years. In patients without APS, corresponding TE incidences were 2.6 (95% CI 1.4 to 4.3) and 0.9 (95% CI 0.5 to 1.4), respectively. The lowest TE incidence was in aPL-negative patients aged <50 years, with 1-year TE-free survival of 0.99 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.0). Beyond the first year, TE-free survival rates did not differ between SLE patients positive and negative for aPL. Standardised mortality rate in patients with and without APS was 4.7 (95% CI 1.8 to 10.7 and 1.7 (95% CI 1.2 to 2.3).

conclusionsThis population-level study reveals high risk of TE, particularly for aPL positive patients around the time of SLE diagnosis. The elevated TE risk requires attention and early preventive strategies in newly diagnosed SLE.

Indexed as

Antiphospholipid SyndromeLupus Erythematosus, SystemicThromboembolismAdultAgedAntibodies, AntiphospholipidFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNorwayRisk FactorsYoung AdultAntibodies, AntiphospholipidAntibodies, AntiphospholipidAntiphospholipid SyndromeEpidemiologySystemic Lupus ErythematosusThrombosis

Identifiers

PMID40903053
PMCPMC12406804

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.