Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40898381›Full record

ArticleCancer communications (London, England)2025

Risk of colorectal cancer by family history of both colorectal carcinomas and colorectal polyps: a nationwide cohort study.

Yuqing Hu, Elham Kharazmi, Qunfeng Liang, Hermann Brenner, Jan Sundquist, Kristina Sundquist, Mahdi Fallah

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer communications (London, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yuqing HuRisk Adapted Prevention Group, Division of Primary Cancer Prevention, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-8509-2271
Elham KharazmiCenter for Primary Health Care Research, Lund University, Malmo, Sweden.
Qunfeng LiangRisk Adapted Prevention Group, Division of Primary Cancer Prevention, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Hermann BrennerDivision of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Jan SundquistCenter for Primary Health Care Research, Lund University, Malmo, Sweden.
Kristina SundquistCenter for Primary Health Care Research, Lund University, Malmo, Sweden.
Mahdi FallahRisk Adapted Prevention Group, Division of Primary Cancer Prevention, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.

Funding

German Federal Ministry of Education and Research 01KD2104A
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) associated with family history of both colorectal in situ or invasive carcinomas (Stage 0 to IV) and colorectal polyps is attributed solely to family history of CRC, resulting in an underestimation of the actual risk. We aimed to assess the association between overall and early-onset CRC (EOCRC) risk and family history of both colorectal carcinomas and polyps.

methodsWe conducted a nationwide cohort study leveraging Swedish family-cancer datasets with follow-up from 1964 to 2018. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated to estimate the risk of CRC and EOCRC among individuals with a family history of both colorectal polyps and carcinomas.

resultsWe followed up 13,432,205 individuals for up to 54 years. The risk of overall CRC was 2.2 times increased in individuals with 1 first-degree relative (FDR) with one-time polyp diagnosis and an additional FDR with carcinoma (95% CI = 2.1-2.3; EOCRC SIR = 2.9 [95% CI = 2.4-3.4]). The risk was significantly higher in individuals with 1 FDR with repeated polyp diagnoses (≥2 times) and an additional FDR with carcinoma (overall SIR = 2.9 [95% CI = 2.7-3.1]; EOCRC SIR = 5.4 [95% CI = 3.9-6.4]). A similar risk was observed in individuals with ≥2 FDRs with one-time polyp diagnosis and an additional FDR with carcinoma (overall SIR = 2.9 [95% CI = 2.4-3.4]; EOCRC SIR = 5.3 [95% CI = 3.0-8.6]). Individuals with ≥2 FDRs with repeated polyp diagnoses and an additional FDR with carcinoma had a 5.0-fold overall risk (95% CI = 4.3-5.7) and a 13.8-fold EOCRC risk (95% CI = 9.7-20.1). Younger age at polyp/carcinoma diagnoses, and more relatives with polyps and carcinomas were associated with higher CRC risk.

conclusionsIndividuals with a family history of both colorectal polyps and carcinomas are at significantly increased risk of CRC, especially EOCRC. The risk increased with frequent polyp diagnoses, younger age at first polyp/carcinoma diagnoses, and the number of relatives with polyps/carcinomas. This study highlights the importance of considering both colorectal polyps and carcinomas in family history when assessing CRC risk. These findings could supplement current screening guidelines.

Indexed as

Colonic PolypsColorectal NeoplasmsAdultAgedCohort StudiesFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansIncidenceMaleMedical History TakingMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSwedencolorectal cancercolorectal polypearly‐onset colorectal cancerfamily history

Identifiers

PMID40898381
PMCPMC12629855

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.