Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40897709›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Anthropogenic forcing drives equatorward migration of heatwave locations across continents.

Juan Feng, Jiaxin Li, Fei-Fei Jin, Sen Zhao, Jianping Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Juan FengState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China. fengjuan@bnu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2382-8500
Jiaxin LiState Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-9448-2417
Fei-Fei JinDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), University of Hawaii at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5101-2296
Sen ZhaoDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), University of Hawaii at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5597-1109
Jianping LiFrontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multi-spheres and Earth System/Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography/Academy of the Future Ocean, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China. ljp@ouc.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0625-1575

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42222501National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42475021
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Heatwaves have increased in frequency, intensity, duration, and spatial extent, posing a serious threat to socioeconomic development, natural ecosystems and human health worldwide. Assessments of trends in heatwave locations (HWL) have been hindered by the distinct regional characteristics of heatwaves across continents. Here we identify a consistent striking equatorward migration in the average latitudinal location of heatwaves occurrence over the period 1979-2023 based on various datasets. The trends of HWL in each hemisphere illustrate equatorward migration at a rate of approximately one degree of latitude per decade, which falls well into the extent of the estimated rate in the observed intertropical convergence zone contraction and the contrast in soil moisture between tropics and subtropics. Our analyses suggest that anthropogenic contribution plays a dominant role in the equatorward trends. The equatorward migration, which has already occurred and is projected to continue in future scenarios, highlights that the risk of damages and disasters caused by heatwaves may increase at lower latitudes.

Identifiers

PMID40897709
PMCPMC12405513

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.