Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40897685›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Climate impacts and future trends of hailstorms in China based on millennial records.

Qinghong Zhang, Rumeng Li, Wenhong Li, Xiaofei Li, Chan-Pang Ng, Shiyi Zhang, Chuanfeng Zhao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Qinghong Zhang *Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China. qzhang@pku.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9697-8622
Rumeng Li *Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China.
Wenhong LiEarth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA. wenhong.li@duke.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5990-2004
Xiaofei LiCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, 710027, Xi'an, China.
Chan-Pang NgDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8170-1110
Shiyi ZhangDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China.
Chuanfeng ZhaoDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5196-3996

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding how hailstorm trends have changed in the context of climate change is a persistent challenge, mainly because of the lack of long-term consistent observations of hailstorms. Here, we leverage hail damage records from Chinese historical books and extend hailstorm records to approximately 2890 years ago, exploring variations in the number of hailstorm days between 1500 and 1949 based on reliable and consistent data. We show that the number of hailstorm days was constant before 1850, but has increased significantly afterwards. This increase in hailstorm days seems to be associated with the increase in surface temperature after the population effect is removed. In addition to the trend, hailstorm activity is found to display both quasicentennial and multidecadal variability, with the former (later) dominating before (after) the 1850s, driven by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). These results suggest that long-term changes in hailstorm days in China are modulated by climate warming and natural variability, via the PDO. Future projections based on different climate change scenarios and a convolutional neural network model show a further increase in the number of hailstorm days in the 21

Identifiers

PMID40897685
PMCPMC12405568

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.