Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40897401›Full record

Observational studyJournal of neurology, neurosurgery, and psychiatry2026

Diffusivity anisotropy signature of slowly expanding lesions predicts progression independent of relapse activity in multiple sclerosis.

Alberto Calvi, Francesc Vivó Pascual, Elisabeth Solana, Elisabet Lopez-Soley, Baris Kanber, Salut Alba-Arbalat, Maria Sepulveda, Eugenia Martínez-Hernández, José Maria Cabrera-Maqueda, Elianet Fonseca and 7 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of neurology, neurosurgery, and psychiatry, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Alberto CalviNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain acalvi@clinic.cat.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1953-2803
Francesc Vivó PascualNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6409-1197
Elisabeth SolanaNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7973-2439
Elisabet Lopez-SoleyNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Baris KanberInstitute of Neurology, Faculty of Brain Sciences, University College London (UCL), London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2443-8800
Salut Alba-ArbalatNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1662-2317
Maria SepulvedaNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Eugenia Martínez-HernándezNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8317-7068
José Maria Cabrera-MaquedaNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Elianet FonsecaNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Santiago Medrano-MartorellNeuroradiology Department, Centre de Diagnòstic per la Imatge (CDI), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Albert SaizNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Yolanda BlancoNeuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Pablo VillosladaDepartment of Neurology, Hospital del Mar, Pompeu Fabra University, Barcelona, Spain.
Ferran Prados CarrascoInstitute of Neurology, Faculty of Brain Sciences, University College London (UCL), London, UK.
Eloy Martinez-Heras *Neuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9937-3162
Sara Llufriu *Neuroimmunology and Multiple Sclerosis Unit and Laboratory of Advanced Imaging in Neuroimmunological Diseases (ImaginEM), Hospital Clinic Barcelona, IDIBAPS, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4273-9121

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSlowly expanding lesions (SELs) in multiple sclerosis (MS) are markers of chronic active lesions and seem to trigger disability. This study aimed to analyse spatial features of SELs through diffusion MRI and their clinical impact on progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA).

methodsAn observational study of MS subjects prospectively followed since 2011; inclusion required at least three longitudinal T1/T2-weighted and diffusion-weighted MRIs. Subjects followed clinical assessments, using Multiple Sclerosis Functional Composite (MSFC) and Expanded Disability Status Scale. At MRI, lesions were categorised using non-linear deformation as definite or possible SELs, and non-SELs. Fractional anisotropy (FA) was extracted from each lesion core and perilesional area. Differences in FA values across core and perilesional areas by SEL category were assessed using the Mann-Whitney test. Associations with PIRA and clinical outcomes were evaluated using mixed-effects, logistic and Cox regression models.

results130 subjects underwent MRI (median 25 months) and clinical assessments (median follow-up 9.2 years), of which 29 (22%) developed PIRA. Of 4811 lesions, 8% were definite SELs. Definite SELs exhibited FA decline over time in core and perilesional areas compared with other lesions. Longitudinal core FA reductions within definite SELs were associated with worse MSFC z-score evolution (β=0.03, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.05, p=0.003), higher odds for PIRA (OR=0.01, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.12, p=0.001) and predicted faster time to reach first PIRA event (HR=0.03, 95% CI 0 to 0.49, p=0.015).

conclusionsDefinite SELs show distinct greater microstructural damage and are associated with PIRA, making their FA signature a potential predictor of MS progression.

Indexed as

BrainMultiple SclerosisAdultAnisotropyDiffusion Magnetic Resonance ImagingDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRecurrenceMRIMULTIPLE SCLEROSIS

Identifiers

PMID40897401
PMCPMC13151513

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.