Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40890428›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Tobacco smoking and the risk of aortic aneurysm in the UK biobank.

Lili Zheng, Ghaliah Baroom, Rida E Z Naqvi, Alicia K Heath, Antonio Berlanga-Taylor, Makoto Hibino, Dagfinn Aune

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Lili ZhengDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, White City Campus, 90 Wood Lane, London, W12 0BZ, UK.
Ghaliah BaroomDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, White City Campus, 90 Wood Lane, London, W12 0BZ, UK.
Rida E Z NaqviDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, White City Campus, 90 Wood Lane, London, W12 0BZ, UK.
Alicia K HeathDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, White City Campus, 90 Wood Lane, London, W12 0BZ, UK.
Antonio Berlanga-TaylorDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, White City Campus, 90 Wood Lane, London, W12 0BZ, UK.
Makoto HibinoDepartment of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Heart, Vascular and Thoracic Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA.
Dagfinn AuneDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, White City Campus, 90 Wood Lane, London, W12 0BZ, UK. d.aune@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4533-1722

Funding

South-East Regional Health Authority of Norway 2017076
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Smoking is an established risk factor for aortic aneurysm, however, few studies have investigated the associations with different aortic aneurysm subsites. The aim of this study was to investigate whether different tobacco smoking metrics and smoking cessation was associated with aortic aneurysm and its subsites in the UK Biobank. The analysis included 495,993 participants, aged 37-73 years. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between smoking and aortic aneurysm. After 12.3 years of follow-up, 3,353 incident cases and 184 deaths from aortic aneurysm were identified. The HRs (95% CIs) of aortic aneurysm incidence for current and former vs. never smokers were 4.32 (3.93-4.76) and 1.70 (1.56-1.84), respectively, and for ≥ 20 vs. <10 cigarettes per day was 5.67 (4.93-6.52), and similar results were observed for pack-years and duration of smoking. At ≥ 30 years of smoking cessation vs. current smoking risk was substantially reduced (0.23, 0.20-0.27) and comparable to never smoking (0.22, 0.20-0.25). Strong positive HRs were observed for current vs. never smoking and abdominal (8.90, 7.79-10.16), thoracoabdominal (11.64, 4.20-32.25), and unspecified site (2.06, 1.61-2.65), ruptured (10.47, 6.12-17.90) and non-ruptured (4.19, 3.80-4.62) aortic aneurysms, but no association was observed for thoracic aortic aneurysm (1.13, 0.88-1.44). Smoking was strongly associated with increased risk of aortic aneurysm and most subtypes. Smoking cessation for ≥ 30 years strongly reduced risk to levels comparable of never smokers. These findings support public health policies promoting smoking prevention and cessation.

Indexed as

Aortic AneurysmSmokingTobacco SmokingAdultAgedBiological Specimen BanksFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsSmoking CessationUK BiobankUnited KingdomAortic aneurysmProspective studyTobacco smoking

Identifiers

PMID40890428
PMCPMC12402329

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.