Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40890374›Full record

ArticleCommunications medicine2025

Healthspan-lifespan gap differs in magnitude and disease contribution across world regions.

Armin Garmany, Andre Terzic

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In one paragraph

Article in Communications medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Armin GarmanyMayo Clinic Alix School of Medicine, Mayo Clinic Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5518-8544
Andre TerzicMayo Clinic Alix School of Medicine, Mayo Clinic Graduate School of Biomedical Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA. terzic.andre@mayo.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9210-009X

Funding

MSTP at Mayo Clinic RochesterT32GM145408 · NIGMS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI SCOTT H KAUFMANN, LISA A SCHIMMENTI · 2023 to 2026
$4.7M
ENHANCING CARDIOPOIETIC REGENERATION FOR ISCHEMIC CARDIOMYOPATHYR01HL134664 · NHLBI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI TERZIC, ANDRE · 2018 to 2021
$1.6M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL134664NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM145408
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLongevity gains have not been matched by equivalent advances in healthy longevity, giving rise to the healthspan-lifespan gap. This study maps, by world region, the healthspan-lifespan gap; identifies gap-associated demographic, economic, and health indicators; and deciphers disease burden patterns contributing to gap profiles.

methodsWorld Health Organization (WHO) Global Health Observatory, United Nations World Population Prospects and Global Health Expenditure Database were interrogated. The healthspan-lifespan gap was quantified from estimates of life expectancy and health-adjusted life expectancy. Regression analysis evaluated healthspan-lifespan gap correlates with a spatial error model used to adjust for confounders arising from geographic proximity. Dimensionality reduction by principal component analysis and clustering by machine learning discriminated disease burden patterns linked to healthspan-lifespan gap identity. Supervised machine learning enabled validation of disease burden pattern distinctness.

resultsCharted for six WHO-designated regions, comprising 183 member states, the healthspan-lifespan gap differs in size across regions. Life expectancy, gross domestic product, and noncommunicable disease burden most consistently correlate with the healthspan-lifespan gap. Unsupervised machine learning identifies three clusters delineating global morbidity patterns. Cluster-informed stratification discerns inter- and intra-regional gap heterogeneity. Africa, although exhibiting the narrowest healthspan-lifespan gap, is overrepresented in countries with larger than predicted healthspan-lifespan gaps and shows the greatest gap expansion and disease burden pattern restructuring. In contrast, Europe is overrepresented in countries with healthspan-lifespan gaps smaller than anticipated. Projections into 2100 forecast continuous widening of the healthspan-lifespan gap across regions.

conclusionsThe healthspan-lifespan gap is universal yet differs in magnitude and disease contribution among world regions. Gap identities imposed by distinct disease burden patterns caution against global generalization, necessitating region-informed solutions to maximize equitable healthy longevity.

Identifiers

PMID40890374
PMCPMC12402540

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.