Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40886524›Full record

ArticleThe International journal on drug policy2025

High variation in purity of consumer-level illicit fentanyl samples in Los Angeles, September 2023-April 2025.

Chelsea L Shover, Adam J Koncsol, Morgan E Godvin, David Goodman-Meza, Bryce Pardo, Michelle Poimboeuf, Caitlin A Molina, Ruby Romero, Jasmine Feng, Joseph R Friedman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The International journal on drug policy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Fentanyl Purity and Overdose Decline: A Reexamination of Geographic Trends.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. The Donovan Memorial Lecture: 'Fentanyl-Plus': A New Era of Fentanyl Polydrug Combinations in the North American Overdose Crisis.Journal of medical toxicology : official journal of the American College of Medical Toxicology · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Chelsea L ShoverDepartment of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, University of California, Los Angeles, United States. Electronic address: clshover@mednet.ucla.edu.
Adam J KoncsolDepartment of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, University of California, Los Angeles, United States.
Morgan E GodvinDepartment of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, University of California, Los Angeles, United States.
David Goodman-MezaKirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Australia.
Bryce PardoUnited Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, Vienna, Austria.
Michelle PoimboeufDepartment of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, University of California, Los Angeles, United States.
Caitlin A MolinaDepartment of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, University of California, Los Angeles, United States.
Ruby RomeroDepartment of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, University of California, Los Angeles, United States.
Jasmine FengDepartment of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, University of California, Los Angeles, United States.
Joseph R FriedmanDepartment of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, United States.

Funding

NRSA Training CoreTL1TR001883 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI ALEX BUI, Nina Thawata Harawa · 2016 to 2026
$8.6M
Ethno-epidemiology of HCV, HIV and Overdose associated with Drug Marketsand Drug TourismR01DA049644 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI STRATHDEE, STEFFANIE A. · 2020 to 2024
$8.2M
Predicting fatal and non-fatal overdose in Los Angeles County with Rapid Overdose Surveillance Dashboard to target street-based addiction treatment and harm reduction servicesR01DA057630 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI David Goodman, Chelsea Leigh Shover · 2022 to 2026
$2.9M
Psychiatry Research Residency Training TrackR25MH101072 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI NEAL R SWERDLOW · 2013 to 2026
$2.8M
Adoption and scale-up of long-acting medications for opioid use disorder by U.S. clinicians.K01DA050771 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI SHOVER, CHELSEA LEIGH · 2021 to 2025
$893k
NCATS NIH HHS TL1 TR001883NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA050771NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA049644NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA057630NIMH NIH HHS R25 MH101072
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe illicit manufacture of fentanyl results in product of unknown purity, contributing to overdose risk. However, data on the purity of illicitly manufactured fentanyl (IMF) in the United States typically comes from law enforcement sources and almost no information relevant to retail-level product is made available. We aim to quantify IMF purity among samples from a community-based drug checking program operating at four geographic sites in Los Angeles, California.

methodsDrug samples (n = 1763) were obtained from participants who also answered an anonymous survey about sample characteristics. Qualitative and quantitative analysis were conducted leveraging directly observed mass spectrometry (DART-MS) and liquid chromatography mass spectrometry (LC/MS) respectively. LC/MS quantified a panel of compounds including fentanyl and fluorofentanyl. Composite IMF purity was estimated by adding the percent mass of fentanyl and fluorofentanyl.

resultsA total of 353 samples had either fentanyl, fluorofentanyl, or both quantified between September 2023 and April 2025. Median IMF purity was 5.8 %, mean 10.0 %, SD 11.1 %, range 0.1-64.9 %. Samples expected to be fentanyl (n = 308) had higher median purity (7.0 %) compared to those expected to be heroin (n = 24, median purity 1.4 %) or other drugs (p < 0.001). Powder samples (n = 318) had higher median concentration (6.9 %) compared to pills (n = 11, 0.7 %) or tar (n = 22, 1.4 %) [p < 0.001]. Of expected-fentanyl samples, 42.5 % (n = 131) had an IMF purity of <5 %, while 17.5 % (n = 54) had purity over 20 %.

conclusionsWe found high variation in IMF purity among samples sold as fentanyl, even among samples obtained on the same day, in the same location. This volatility likely plays a role in high overdose risk, even among people with opioid tolerance, in the fentanyl era. Further research is needed to compare these findings to other locations across the United States.

Indexed as

Analgesics, OpioidDrug ContaminationFentanylIllicit DrugsChromatography, LiquidHumansLos AngelesMass SpectrometryAnalgesics, OpioidFentanylIllicit DrugsDrug checkingHarm reductionIllicit drug supplyQuantitation

Identifiers

PMID40886524
PMCPMC13159572

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.