Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40884232›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2026

Predictive biomarkers for regression in women undergoing active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2: A prospective multicenter study in Italy.

Helena Frayle, Silvia Gori, Alessio Pagan, Marika Soldà, Cesare Romagnolo, Egle Insacco, Licia Laurino, Mario Matteucci, Giuseppe Sordi, Enrico Busato and 4 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Helena FrayleImmunology and Diagnostic Molecular Oncology Unit, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4906-3075
Silvia GoriImmunology and Diagnostic Molecular Oncology Unit, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8528-0608
Alessio PaganOspedale Ca' Foncello, Local Health Unit Marca Trevigiana, Treviso, Italy.
Marika SoldàOspedale dell'Angelo, Local Health Unit Serenissima, Venezia, Italy.
Cesare RomagnoloOspedale dell'Angelo, Local Health Unit Serenissima, Venezia, Italy.
Egle InsaccoObstetrics and Gynaecology, Azienda Ospedale Università, Padua, Italy.
Licia LaurinoOspedale dell'Angelo, Local Health Unit Serenissima, Venezia, Italy.
Mario MatteucciObstetrics and Gynaecology, Azienda Ospedale Università, Padua, Italy.
Giuseppe SordiOspedale San Bonifacio, Local Health Unit Scaligera, Verona, Italy.
Enrico BusatoOspedale Ca' Foncello, Local Health Unit Marca Trevigiana, Treviso, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6739-2326
Manuel ZorziVeneto Tumour Registry, Azienda Zero, Padua, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6025-5214
Tiziano MagginoOspedale dell'Angelo, Local Health Unit Serenissima, Venezia, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5177-8205
Annarosa Del MistroImmunology and Diagnostic Molecular Oncology Unit, Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7201-9374
CIN2 Study Working Group

Funding

Veneto Regional Authority RSFR-2017-00000523
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2) can spontaneously regress in a sizable proportion of cases. The aim of this prospective multicenter cohort study was to identify the biomarkers associated with a high probability of regression. A total of 319 women aged 25-45 years fulfilling predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria (full visibility of transformation zone and lesion; no previous history of CIN2+ or immune impairment) were enrolled and subjected to active surveillance for 24 months. HPV genotyping, p16/ki67 expression, methylation status of FAM19A4/miR124-2 genes, and cytology were evaluated at baseline. The probability of CIN2 regression according to the different biomarkers was evaluated through binomial logistic regression. At follow-up, regression, persistence, and progression (evaluated on 294 women) were recorded in 165 (56%), 68 (23%), and 61 (21%) cases, respectively; no association with age was observed. Overall, 110 women underwent excisional treatment during follow-up; 53 CIN2 and 50 CIN3+ were diagnosed. The probability of CIN2 regression significantly increased with early HPV negativity (odds ratio [OR] 6.45, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.68-42.6), no p16/ki67 expression (OR 2.49, 95%CI 1.38-4.52), and unmethylated status (OR 2.12, 95%CI 1.09-4.20). Our results indicate that active CIN2 surveillance could be implemented for women up to 45 years, after selection according to anatomo-clinical criteria and biomarker status. To improve feasibility, the biomarkers can be used sequentially, taking advantage of the HPV genotyping available in primary screening tests, and eventually refining the selection by using the other biomarkers in selected subgroups.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdultCyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16CytokinesDNA MethylationFemaleHumansItalyKi-67 AntigenMicroRNAsMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingPapillomaviridaePapillomavirus InfectionsBiomarkers, TumorCDKN2A protein, humanCyclin-Dependent Kinase Inhibitor p16CytokinesKi-67 AntigenMicroRNAsMIRN124 microRNA, humanTAFA4 protein, humanCIN2HPV genotypingmethylationp16/ki67regression

Identifiers

PMID40884232
PMCPMC12670340

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.