Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40881951›Full record

ReviewCambridge prisms. Coastal futures2023

The coming perfect storm: Diminishing sustainability of coastal human-natural systems in the Anthropocene.

John W Day, Charles A Hall, Kent Klitgaard, Joel D Gunn, Jae-Young Ko, Joseph R Burger

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

John W DayDepartment of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0915-1457
Charles A HallCollege of Environmental Science and Forestry, State University of New York, Syracuse, NY, USA.
Kent KlitgaardDepartment of Economics, Wells College, Aurora, NY, USA.
Joel D GunnDepartment of Anthropology, University of North Carolina-Greenboro, Greensboro, NC, USA.
Jae-Young KoDepartment of Public Policy and Administration, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS, USA and Department of Biology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Joseph R BurgerDepartment of Public Policy and Administration, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS, USA and Department of Biology, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We review impacts of climate change, energy scarcity, and economic frameworks on sustainability of natural and human systems in coastal zones, areas of high biodiversity, productivity, population density, and economic activity. More than 50% of the global population lives within 200 km of a coast, mostly in tropical developing countries. These systems developed during stable Holocene conditions. Changes in global forcings are threatening sustainability of coastal ecosystems and populations. During the Holocene, the earth warmed and became wetter and more productive. Climate changes are impacting coastal systems via sea level rise, stronger tropical cyclones, changes in basin inputs, and extreme weather events. These impacts are passing tipping points as the fossil fuel-powered industrial-technological-agricultural revolution has overwhelmed the source-sink functions of the biosphere and degraded natural systems. The current status of industrialized society is primarily the result of fossil fuel (FF) use. FFs provided more than 80% of global primary energy and are projected to decline to 50% by mid-century. This has profound implications for societal energy requirements, including the transition to a renewable economy. The development of the industrial economy allowed coastal social systems to become spatially separated from their dominant energy and food sources. This will become more difficult to maintain with the fading of cheap energy. It seems inevitable that past growth in energy use, resource consumption, and economic growth cannot be sustained, and coastal areas are in the forefront of these challenges. Rapid planning and cooperation are necessary to minimize impacts of the changes associated with the coming transition. There is an urgent need for a new economic framework to guide society through the transition as mainstream neoclassical economics is not based on natural sciences and does not adequately consider either the importance of energy or the work of nature.

Indexed as

biophysical systemsclimate changecoastal ecosystemssustainability

Identifiers

PMID40881951
PMCPMC12337585

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.