Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40881457›Full record

ArticleEpidemiologic methods2025

Time-varying reproductive number estimation for practical application in structured populations.

Erin Clancey, Eric T Lofgren

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiologic methods, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Erin ClanceyPaul G. Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4728-4023
Eric T LofgrenPaul G. Allen School for Global Health, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2052-7240

Funding

Methods and Tools for Understanding Disease Dynamics in Small, Structured PopulationsR35GM147013 · NIGMS · WASHINGTON STATE UNIVERSITY · PI Eric T Lofgren · 2022 to 2026
$1.8M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM147013
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: EpiEstim is a popular statistical framework designed to produce real-time estimates of the time-varying reproductive number, Methods: Following a real-world example of a COVID-19 outbreak in a small university town, we generate simulated case report data from a two-population mechanistic model with an explicit generation interval distribution and expression to compute true Results: When population structure is present but not accounted for Conclusions:

Indexed as

EpiEstimgeneration interval distributionpopulation structuresimulationtime-varying reproductive number

Identifiers

PMID40881457
PMCPMC12383560

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.